Match dossier

Romania vs Sweden Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Romania

4th in table · 0 pts

DWLLL

Mon, 5 Oct 202619:45

0 : 1

Full timeTip: 2 · 1.79

Sweden

1st in table · 10 pts

DLWWD

Pre-match win probability

22.1%Romania23.7%Draw54.2%Sweden

Our prediction

2 · Romania

Romania vs Sweden listed tip from the board.

Odds1.79
Confidence55.87%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Romania 22.1%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Sweden 54.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 1.7956%Won
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2481%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6262%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1885%Lost
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.6959%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6760%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6Odds 1.2183%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3077%Won

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

RomaniaSweden
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.32
Wins
03
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Romania2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 2 OctPoland6 – 0RomaniaL
  • 28 SeptRomania2 – 4Bosnia & HerzegovinaL
  • 25 SeptSweden2 – 1RomaniaL
  • 6 JunRomania2 – 1WalesW
  • 2 JunGeorgia1 – 1RomaniaD
  • 31 MarSlovakia2 – 0RomaniaL
  • 26 MarTürkiye1 – 0RomaniaL
  • 18 NovRomania7 – 1San MarinoW
  • 15 NovBosnia & Herzegovina3 – 1RomaniaL
Sweden3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 2 OctBosnia & Herzegovina1 – 1SwedenD
  • 28 SeptSweden3 – 1PolandW
  • 25 SeptSweden2 – 1RomaniaW
  • 30 JunFrance3 – 0SwedenL
  • 26 JunJapan1 – 1SwedenD
  • 20 JunNetherlands5 – 1SwedenL
  • 15 JunSweden5 – 1TunisiaW
  • 4 JunSweden2 – 2GreeceD
  • 1 JunNorway3 – 1SwedenL
H2H
Head to headRomania 1W · 0D · Sweden 3W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 25 SeptSweden2 – 1Romania
  • 15 NovRomania0 – 2Sweden
  • 23 MarSweden2 – 1Romania
  • 27 MarRomania1 – 0Sweden

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Romania4.38
Draw4.1
Sweden1.79

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Romania

Chance22.1%
Odds4.38

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4.1

Sweden

Chance54.2%
Odds1.79

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.79

RomaniaSweden
Recent form37%63%
Attack47%53%
Defence41%59%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall29%71%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Romania scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Romania conceded 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Romania vs Sweden: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Romania meet Sweden in the World, UEFA Nations League on 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sweden at 1.79. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Romania vs Sweden FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Romania vs Sweden match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Romania vs Sweden?

Sweden is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.79. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.