Match dossier

France vs Belgium Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France

1st in table · 10 pts

LLWWD

Mon, 5 Oct 202619:45

4 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.53

Belgium

3rd in table · 6 pts

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

61.4%France21.3%Draw17.3%Belgium

Our prediction

1 · France

France vs Belgium listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence65.36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • France 61.4%
  • Draw 21.3%
  • Belgium 17.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Home Win1Odds 1.5365%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.4469%Won
  • free 2 oddsOver 1.5Odds 1.40Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2544%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2282%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.7059%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6760%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FranceBelgium
Goals scored (avg)
1.92.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.9
Wins
32
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

France6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 2 OctFrance1 – 1ItalyD
  • 28 SeptBelgium0 – 1FranceW
  • 25 SeptTürkiye0 – 1FranceW
  • 18 JulFrance4 – 6EnglandL
  • 14 JulFrance0 – 2SpainL
  • 9 JulFrance2 – 0MoroccoW
  • 4 JulParaguay0 – 1FranceW
  • 30 JunFrance3 – 0SwedenW
  • 26 JunNorway1 – 4FranceW
Belgium5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 2 OctBelgium3 – 0TürkiyeW
  • 28 SeptBelgium0 – 1FranceL
  • 25 SeptItaly0 – 2BelgiumW
  • 10 JulSpain2 – 1BelgiumL
  • 7 JulUSA1 – 4BelgiumW
  • 1 JulBelgium3 – 2SenegalW
  • 27 JunNew Zealand1 – 5BelgiumW
  • 21 JunBelgium0 – 0IranD
  • 15 JunBelgium1 – 1EgyptD
H2H
Head to headFrance 6W · 0D · Belgium 0W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 28 SeptBelgium0 – 1France
  • 14 OctBelgium1 – 2France
  • 9 SeptFrance2 – 0Belgium
  • 1 JulFrance1 – 0Belgium
  • 7 OctBelgium2 – 3France
  • 10 JulFrance1 – 0Belgium

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

France1.58
Draw4.56
Belgium5.61

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

France

Chance61.4%
Odds1.58

Draw

Chance21.3%
Odds4.56

Belgium

Chance17.3%
Odds5.61

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.53

FranceBelgium
Recent form53%47%
Attack48%52%
Defence48%52%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall78%22%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

France scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

France conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

France vs Belgium: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

France meet Belgium in the World, UEFA Nations League on 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is France at 1.58. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

France vs Belgium FAQs

4 questions

What time is the France vs Belgium match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for France vs Belgium?

France is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.58. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.