Match dossier
Italy vs Türkiye Predictions
World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips
Italy
2nd in table · 7 pts
Mon, 5 Oct 202619:45
3 : 1
Full timeTip: 1 · 1.44
Türkiye
4th in table · 0 pts
Pre-match win probability
Results are graded automatically after full time
Our prediction
1 · Italy
Italy vs Türkiye listed tip from the board.
- Italy 66.4%
- Draw 19.2%
- Türkiye 14.4%
Board tips
Betting Tips
- Home Win1Odds 1.4469%Won
- Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.5166%Won
- corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.4042%Lost
- Win Either Half1Odds 1.2282%Won
- cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6262%Lost
- Banker of the Day1Odds 1.4469%Won
- Single Bet1Odds 1.2282%Won
Season statistics
UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger
ItalyTürkiye1.21.604Recent form
Last matches · newest first
- 2 OctFrance1 – 1ItalyD
- 28 SeptTürkiye1 – 4ItalyW
- 25 SeptItaly0 – 2BelgiumL
- 7 JunGreece0 – 1ItalyW
- 3 JunLuxembourg0 – 1ItalyW
- 31 MarBosnia & Herzegovina1 – 1ItalyD
- 26 MarItaly2 – 0Northern IrelandW
- 16 NovItaly1 – 4NorwayL
- 13 NovMoldova0 – 2ItalyW
- 2 OctBelgium3 – 0TürkiyeL
- 28 SeptTürkiye1 – 4ItalyL
- 25 SeptTürkiye0 – 1FranceL
- 26 JunTürkiye3 – 2USAW
- 20 JunTürkiye0 – 1ParaguayL
- 14 JunAustralia2 – 0TürkiyeL
- 6 JunVenezuela1 – 2TürkiyeW
- 1 JunTürkiye4 – 0FYR MacedoniaW
- 31 MarKosovo0 – 1TürkiyeW
H2H- 28 SeptTürkiye1 – 4Italy
- 4 JunItaly0 – 0Türkiye
- 29 MarTürkiye2 – 3Italy
- 11 JunTürkiye0 – 3Italy
Betting markets
Bookmaker prices with margin removed
No over/under prices stored.
Match result
No BTTS prices stored.
No double chance prices stored.
Italy
Draw
Türkiye
No half-time prices stored.
No corner prices stored.
Model comparison
Our pick: 1 at 1.44
ItalyTürkiyeTrends
Trend · UEFA Nations League
Italy scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.
Trend · UEFA Nations League
Italy conceded 1 per game in the last 9.
Trend · UEFA Nations League
Failed to score in 1 of those 9.
Trend · UEFA Nations League
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.
Italy vs Türkiye: prediction & preview
World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026
Italy meet Türkiye in the World, UEFA Nations League on 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.
On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Italy at 1.46. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.
Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.
Italy vs Türkiye FAQs
4 questionsWhat time is the Italy vs Türkiye match?
Kickoff is 19:45 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
What are the safest picks for Italy vs Türkiye?
Italy is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.46. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.4%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.
Do both teams score on this match?
A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.