Match dossier

Palmeiras vs Corinthians Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 21:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Palmeiras

2nd in table · 70 pts

WLWDW

Sun, 11 Oct 2026·21:30

4 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.31

Corinthians

18th in table · 36 pts

LLDLW

Win probability

60.4%Palmeiras24.6%Draw15%Corinthians

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Corinthians listed tip from the board.

Odds1.31
Confidence76.34%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 60.4%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Corinthians 15%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.3176%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.8953%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2083%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.4270%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.5240%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4071%Won

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasCorinthians
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.7
Wins
209
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Palmeiras5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovPalmeiras1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 24 OctPalmeiras2 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseL
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaW
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptLDU de Quito3 – 2PalmeirasL
Corinthians1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctCorinthians2 – 0MirassolW
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansL
  • 20 OctCorinthians1 – 1VitoriaD
  • 7 OctInternacional2 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 20 SeptCorinthians1 – 3FluminenseL
  • 17 SeptCorinthians0 – 1Estudiantes L.P.L
  • 13 SeptFlamengo2 – 1CorinthiansL
  • 10 SeptEstudiantes L.P.1 – 1CorinthiansD
  • 6 SeptCorinthians1 – 2Chapecoense-scL
H2H
Head to headPalmeiras 2W · 4D · Corinthians 3W · 1.2 goals a game
  • 12 AprCorinthians0 – 0Palmeiras
  • 9 FebCorinthians0 – 1Palmeiras
  • 31 AugCorinthians1 – 1Palmeiras
  • 7 AugPalmeiras0 – 2Corinthians
  • 31 JulCorinthians1 – 0Palmeiras
  • 12 AprPalmeiras2 – 0Corinthians
  • 28 MarCorinthians0 – 0Palmeiras
  • 16 MarPalmeiras0 – 1Corinthians
  • 7 FebPalmeiras1 – 1Corinthians

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Palmeiras1.59
Draw3.9
Corinthians6.4

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Palmeiras

Chance60.4%
Odds1.59

Draw

Chance24.6%
Odds3.9

Corinthians

Chance15%
Odds6.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.31

PalmeirasCorinthians
Recent form77%23%
Attack50%50%
Defence65%35%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall80%20%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Palmeiras scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Palmeiras conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 9.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Palmeiras meet Corinthians in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.59. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Palmeiras vs Corinthians match?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Palmeiras is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.59. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.