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Atletico-MG vs Santos Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Atletico-MG

7th in table · 50 pts

WLLLL

Sun, 11 Oct 202620:00

2 : 1

Full timeTip: X · 3.54

Santos

9th in table · 47 pts

WWWWD

Pre-match win probability

47%Atletico-MG27%Draw25.9%Santos

Our prediction

X · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds3.54
Confidence62.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 47%
  • Draw 27%
  • Santos 25.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.5462%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6660%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.6737%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2844%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGSantos
Goals scored (avg)
1.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–
Wins
1412
Played
3334

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico-MG3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 29 OctAtletico-MG0 – 1CruzeiroL
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGL
  • 21 OctAtletico Torque2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 17 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0CoritibaW
  • 14 OctAtletico-MG3 – 0Atletico TorqueW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 3 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 19 SeptAtletico-MG1 – 1Chapecoense-scD
Santos0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headAtletico-MG 3W · 3D · Santos 3W · 2.2 goals a game
    • 16 SeptAtletico-MG4 – 2Santos
    • 9 SeptSantos2 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 12 AprSantos1 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 14 SeptAtletico-MG1 – 1Santos
    • 17 AprSantos2 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 27 AugAtletico-MG2 – 0Santos
    • 23 AprSantos0 – 0Atletico-MG
    • 6 OctSantos1 – 2Atletico-MG
    • 11 JunAtletico-MG1 – 1Santos

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    No over/under prices stored.

    Match result

    Atletico-MG2.04
    Draw3.55
    Santos3.7

    No BTTS prices stored.

    No double chance prices stored.

    Atletico-MG

    Chance47%
    Odds2.04

    Draw

    Chance27%
    Odds3.55

    Santos

    Chance25.9%
    Odds3.7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X at 3.54

    Atletico-MGSantos
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack52%48%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model52%48%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall64%36%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Atletico-MG scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Atletico-MG conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Atletico-MG vs Santos: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

    Atletico-MG meet Santos in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 2.04. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Atletico-MG vs Santos FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Atletico-MG vs Santos match?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Atletico-MG vs Santos?

    Atletico-MG is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.04. The margin-adjusted share is about 47%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.