Match dossier

Flamengo vs Fluminense Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 21:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Flamengo

1st in table · 73 pts

DWDWW

Sun, 11 Oct 202621:30

1 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 2.0 · 2.52

Fluminense

4th in table · 54 pts

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

65%Flamengo20.9%Draw14.1%Fluminense

Our prediction

Over 2.0 · Flamengo

Flamengo vs Fluminense listed tip from the board.

Odds2.52
Confidence39.68%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Flamengo 65%
  • Draw 20.9%
  • Fluminense 14.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.5240%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.8654%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FlamengoFluminense
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.4
Wins
2215
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Flamengo5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 30 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 4FlamengoW
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGW
  • 23 OctFlamengo0 – 0Estudiantes L.P.D
  • 18 OctBahia0 – 3FlamengoW
  • 16 OctEstudiantes L.P.0 – 0FlamengoD
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
  • 20 SeptFlamengo2 – 1RB BragantinoW
  • 18 SeptFlamengo1 – 1Independiente del ValleD
  • 13 SeptFlamengo2 – 1CorinthiansW
Fluminense4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 28 OctFluminense2 – 1InternacionalW
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseW
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 9 OctFluminense4 – 0CoritibaW
  • 20 SeptCorinthians1 – 3FluminenseW
  • 15 SeptPlatense2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 12 SeptAtletico-MG3 – 1FluminenseL
H2H
Head to headFlamengo 3W · 3D · Fluminense 3W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 12 AprFluminense1 – 2Flamengo
  • 8 MarFluminense0 – 0Flamengo
  • 25 JanFluminense2 – 1Flamengo
  • 20 NovFluminense2 – 1Flamengo
  • 20 JulFlamengo1 – 0Fluminense
  • 16 MarFlamengo0 – 0Fluminense
  • 13 MarFluminense1 – 2Flamengo
  • 8 FebFluminense0 – 0Flamengo
  • 18 OctFlamengo0 – 2Fluminense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Flamengo1.48
Draw4.6
Fluminense6.81

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Flamengo

Chance65%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance20.9%
Odds4.6

Fluminense

Chance14.1%
Odds6.81

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.0 at 2.52

FlamengoFluminense
Recent form61%39%
Attack53%47%
Defence57%43%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall82%18%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Flamengo scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Flamengo conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Flamengo vs Fluminense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Flamengo meet Fluminense in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Flamengo at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Flamengo vs Fluminense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Flamengo vs Fluminense match?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Flamengo vs Fluminense?

Flamengo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 65%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.