Match dossier

Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria Predictions

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Guinea-Bissau

1st in table · 6 pts

LLLDW

Tue, 29 Sept 202617:00

3 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 1.26

Nigeria

2nd in table · 3 pts

WDLWD

Pre-match win probability

13.2%Guinea-Bissau24.6%Draw62.2%Nigeria

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Guinea-Bissau

Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.26
Confidence79.37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guinea-Bissau 13.2%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Nigeria 62.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.2679%Lost

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Guinea-BissauNigeria
Goals scored (avg)
0.72.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.4
Wins
21
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Guinea-Bissau2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 25 SeptTanzania0 – 2Guinea-BissauW
  • 31 MarBurkina Faso1 – 1Guinea-BissauD
  • 28 MarBurkina Faso5 – 0Guinea-BissauL
  • 12 OctEgypt1 – 0Guinea-BissauL
  • 8 OctEthiopia1 – 0Guinea-BissauL
  • 8 SeptGuinea-Bissau2 – 0DjiboutiW
  • 4 SeptGuinea-Bissau1 – 1Sierra LeoneD
  • 9 JunGabon2 – 0Guinea-BissauL
  • 6 JunBurundi1 – 0Guinea-BissauL
Nigeria4W 3D 1L in last 8
  • 6 OctRussia3 – 3NigeriaD
  • 25 SeptNigeria2 – 1MadagascarW
  • 10 JunPortugal2 – 1NigeriaL
  • 3 JunPoland2 – 2NigeriaD
  • 30 MayJamaica0 – 3NigeriaW
  • 26 MayNigeria2 – 0ZimbabweW
  • 31 MarJordan2 – 2NigeriaD
  • 27 MarIran1 – 2NigeriaW
H2H
Head to headGuinea-Bissau 1W · 0D · Nigeria 3W · 1.3 goals a game
  • 22 JanGuinea-Bissau0 – 1Nigeria
  • 27 MarGuinea-Bissau0 – 1Nigeria
  • 24 MarNigeria0 – 1Guinea-Bissau
  • 19 JanGuinea-Bissau0 – 2Nigeria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Guinea-Bissau7.01
Draw3.76
Nigeria1.49

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Guinea-Bissau

Chance13.2%
Odds7.01

Draw

Chance24.6%
Odds3.76

Nigeria

Chance62.2%
Odds1.49

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 1.26

Guinea-BissauNigeria
Recent form35%65%
Attack25%75%
Defence52%48%
Goals model25%75%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall18%82%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Guinea-Bissau scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Guinea-Bissau conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Guinea-Bissau meet Nigeria in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nigeria at 1.49. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?

Nigeria is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.49. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.