Match dossier

Lesotho vs Morocco Predictions

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Lesotho

4th in table · 0 pts

DWDLL

Tue, 29 Sept 202614:00

0 : 2

Full timeTip: Over 2.5 · 1.24

Morocco

1st in table · 6 pts

DWLWD

Pre-match win probability

1.7%Lesotho7%Draw91.3%Morocco

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Lesotho

Lesotho vs Morocco listed tip from the board.

Odds1.24
Confidence91.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lesotho 1.7%
  • Draw 7%
  • Morocco 91.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 2.5Odds 1.24Lost
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.2183%Lost
  • corners ouOver 7.5Odds 1.3475%Lost

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LesothoMorocco
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.20.9
Wins
02
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lesotho2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 25 SeptNiger2 – 1LesothoL
  • 7 JunKenya4 – 0LesothoL
  • 4 JunLesotho1 – 1KenyaD
  • 29 MarLesotho2 – 1SeychellesW
  • 26 MarSeychelles0 – 0LesothoD
  • 18 NovLesotho0 – 1MalawiL
  • 15 NovLesotho0 – 0MalawiD
  • 13 OctLesotho1 – 0ZimbabweW
  • 10 OctLesotho1 – 2NigeriaL
Morocco4W 3D 1L in last 8
  • 4 OctMorocco1 – 1MaliD
  • 25 SeptMorocco2 – 0GabonW
  • 9 JulFrance2 – 0MoroccoL
  • 4 JulCanada0 – 3MoroccoW
  • 30 JunNetherlands1 – 1MoroccoD
  • 24 JunMorocco4 – 2HaitiW
  • 19 JunScotland0 – 1MoroccoW
  • 13 JunBrazil1 – 1MoroccoD
H2H
Head to headLesotho 0W · 0D · Morocco 2W · 4 goals a game
  • 18 NovMorocco7 – 0Lesotho
  • 9 SeptLesotho0 – 1Morocco

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Lesotho55
Draw13.5
Morocco1.03

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Lesotho

Chance1.7%
Odds55

Draw

Chance7%
Odds13.5

Morocco

Chance91.3%
Odds1.03

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.24

LesothoMorocco
Recent form38%62%
Attack30%70%
Defence46%54%
Goals model30%70%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall2%98%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Lesotho scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Lesotho conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Lesotho vs Morocco: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Lesotho meet Morocco in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Morocco at 1.03. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 91.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lesotho vs Morocco FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lesotho vs Morocco match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lesotho vs Morocco?

Morocco is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.03. The margin-adjusted share is about 91.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.