Match dossier

Ethiopia vs Senegal Predictions

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Ethiopia

4th in table · 0 pts

WWWDL

Tue, 29 Sept 202614:00

0 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.28

Senegal

1st in table · 4 pts

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

23.2%Ethiopia26.5%Draw50.3%Senegal

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Ethiopia

Ethiopia vs Senegal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence50.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ethiopia 23.2%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Senegal 50.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.28Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2878%Lost
  • Single BetOver 1.5Odds 1.2878%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3674%Won
  • corners ouOver 6Odds 1.1984%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2580%Won
  • Banker of the DayOver 1.5Odds 1.2878%Lost

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EthiopiaSenegal
Goals scored (avg)
11.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.6
Wins
01
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ethiopia4W 1D 3L in last 8
  • 25 SeptSudan1 – 0EthiopiaL
  • 9 JunEthiopia1 – 1MalawiD
  • 6 JunEthiopia1 – 0MalawiW
  • 31 MarEthiopia1 – 0Sao Tome and PrincipeW
  • 27 MarSao Tome and Principe0 – 3EthiopiaW
  • 12 OctBurkina Faso3 – 1EthiopiaL
  • 8 OctEthiopia1 – 0Guinea-BissauW
  • 9 SeptSierra Leone2 – 0EthiopiaL
Senegal3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 4 OctComoros0 – 1SenegalW
  • 25 SeptMozambique1 – 1SenegalD
  • 1 JulBelgium3 – 2SenegalL
  • 26 JunSenegal5 – 0IraqW
  • 23 JunNorway3 – 2SenegalL
  • 16 JunFrance3 – 1SenegalL
  • 10 JunSaudi Arabia0 – 0SenegalD
  • 31 MayUSA3 – 2SenegalL
  • 31 MarSenegal3 – 1GambiaW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Ethiopia3.99
Draw3.5
Senegal1.84

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Ethiopia

Chance23.2%
Odds3.99

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.5

Senegal

Chance50.3%
Odds1.84

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.28

EthiopiaSenegal
Recent form54%46%
Attack34%66%
Defence60%40%
Goals model34%66%
Overall32%68%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Ethiopia scored 1 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Ethiopia conceded 0.9 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 8.

Ethiopia vs Senegal: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Ethiopia meet Senegal in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Senegal at 1.84. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ethiopia vs Senegal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ethiopia vs Senegal match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ethiopia vs Senegal?

Senegal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.84. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.