Match dossier

Estonia vs Iceland Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Estonia

2nd in table · 6 pts

WWDDW

Tue, 6 Oct 202619:45

0 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.27

Iceland

1st in table · 8 pts

LLDWW

Pre-match win probability

18.3%Estonia23.7%Draw58.1%Iceland

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Estonia

Estonia vs Iceland listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence78.74%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estonia 18.3%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Iceland 58.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2779%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3674%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3176%Won
  • corners ouOver 6Odds 1.2381%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.3375%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EstoniaIceland
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.6
Wins
12
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estonia4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 3 OctEstonia1 – 0LuxembourgW
  • 29 SeptBulgaria0 – 0EstoniaD
  • 26 SeptIceland1 – 1EstoniaD
  • 9 JunEstonia1 – 0LithuaniaW
  • 6 JunEstonia1 – 0Faroe IslandsW
  • 30 MarRwanda2 – 0EstoniaL
  • 27 MarKenya1 – 1EstoniaD
  • 18 NovCyprus2 – 4EstoniaW
  • 13 NovNorway4 – 1EstoniaL
Iceland2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 3 OctIceland3 – 0BulgariaW
  • 29 SeptLuxembourg0 – 3IcelandW
  • 26 SeptIceland1 – 1EstoniaD
  • 10 JunArgentina3 – 0IcelandL
  • 31 MayJapan1 – 0IcelandL
  • 31 MarHaiti1 – 1IcelandD
  • 28 MarCanada2 – 2IcelandD
  • 26 FebMexico4 – 0IcelandL
  • 16 NovUkraine2 – 0IcelandL
H2H
Head to headEstonia 0W · 2D · Iceland 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 26 SeptIceland1 – 1Estonia
  • 8 JanIceland1 – 1Estonia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Estonia5.31
Draw4.1
Iceland1.67

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Estonia

Chance18.3%
Odds5.31

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4.1

Iceland

Chance58.1%
Odds1.67

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.27

EstoniaIceland
Recent form63%37%
Attack50%50%
Defence58%42%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall24%76%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Estonia scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Estonia conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Estonia vs Iceland: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

Estonia meet Iceland in the World, UEFA Nations League on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Iceland at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estonia vs Iceland FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Estonia vs Iceland match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 6 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Estonia vs Iceland?

Iceland is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.