Match dossier

Croatia vs Spain Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Croatia

3rd in table · 3 pts

WLWLL

Tue, 6 Oct 202619:45

1 : 2

Full timeTip: 2 · 1.26

Spain

1st in table · 12 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

9.7%Croatia15.9%Draw74.4%Spain

Our prediction

2 · Croatia

Croatia vs Spain listed tip from the board.

Odds1.26
Confidence79.37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Croatia 9.7%
  • Draw 15.9%
  • Spain 74.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 1.2679%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.4071%Won
  • free 2 odds2Odds 1.45Won
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.5764%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2183%Won

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CroatiaSpain
Goals scored (avg)
1.22.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.40.6
Wins
14
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Croatia4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 3 OctCroatia0 – 7EnglandL
  • 29 SeptSpain4 – 1CroatiaL
  • 26 SeptCzechia1 – 2CroatiaW
  • 3 JulPortugal2 – 1CroatiaL
  • 27 JunCroatia2 – 1GhanaW
  • 24 JunPanama0 – 1CroatiaW
  • 17 JunEngland4 – 2CroatiaL
  • 7 JunCroatia2 – 1SloveniaW
  • 2 JunCroatia0 – 2BelgiumL
Spain9W 0D 0L in last 9
  • 3 OctSpain3 – 1CzechiaW
  • 29 SeptSpain4 – 1CroatiaW
  • 26 SeptEngland2 – 3SpainW
  • 19 JulSpain1 – 0ArgentinaW
  • 14 JulFrance0 – 2SpainW
  • 10 JulSpain2 – 1BelgiumW
  • 6 JulPortugal0 – 1SpainW
  • 2 JulSpain3 – 0AustriaW
  • 27 JunUruguay0 – 1SpainW
H2H
Head to headCroatia 2W · 1D · Spain 5W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 29 SeptSpain4 – 1Croatia
  • 15 JunSpain3 – 0Croatia
  • 18 JunCroatia0 – 0Spain
  • 28 JunCroatia3 – 5Spain
  • 15 NovCroatia3 – 2Spain
  • 11 SeptSpain6 – 0Croatia
  • 21 JunCroatia2 – 1Spain
  • 18 JunCroatia0 – 1Spain

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Croatia10
Draw6.07
Spain1.3

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Croatia

Chance9.7%
Odds10

Draw

Chance15.9%
Odds6.07

Spain

Chance74.4%
Odds1.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.26

CroatiaSpain
Recent form31%69%
Attack35%65%
Defence20%80%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head31%69%
Overall12%88%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Croatia scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Croatia conceded 2.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Croatia vs Spain: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

Croatia meet Spain in the World, UEFA Nations League on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spain at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Croatia vs Spain FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Croatia vs Spain match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 6 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Croatia vs Spain?

Spain is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.