Match dossier

Albania vs San Marino Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Albania

1st in table · 9 pts

LLWWL

Tue, 6 Oct 202619:45

2 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 1.41

San Marino

4th in table · 0 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

94.2%Albania4%Draw1.8%San Marino

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Albania

Albania vs San Marino listed tip from the board.

Odds1.41
Confidence70.92%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Albania 94.2%
  • Draw 4%
  • San Marino 1.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.4171%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlbaniaSan Marino
Goals scored (avg)
0.90.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
13.1
Wins
30
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Albania3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 3 OctFinland2 – 1AlbaniaL
  • 29 SeptSan Marino0 – 3AlbaniaW
  • 26 SeptAlbania2 – 0BelarusW
  • 6 JunAlbania0 – 1LuxembourgL
  • 3 JunAlbania0 – 1IsraelL
  • 31 MarUkraine1 – 0AlbaniaL
  • 26 MarPoland2 – 1AlbaniaL
  • 16 NovAlbania0 – 2EnglandL
  • 13 NovAndorra0 – 1AlbaniaW
San Marino0W 1D 8L in last 9
  • 3 OctBelarus4 – 0San MarinoL
  • 29 SeptSan Marino0 – 3AlbaniaL
  • 26 SeptSan Marino0 – 7FinlandL
  • 9 JunAzerbaijan2 – 1San MarinoL
  • 5 JunSan Marino1 – 2BangladeshL
  • 31 MarSan Marino0 – 0AndorraD
  • 28 MarSan Marino1 – 2Faroe IslandsL
  • 18 NovRomania7 – 1San MarinoL
  • 13 NovCzechia1 – 0San MarinoL
H2H
Head to headAlbania 3W · 0D · San Marino 0W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 29 SeptSan Marino0 – 3Albania
  • 8 SeptAlbania5 – 0San Marino
  • 31 MarSan Marino0 – 2Albania

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Albania1.03
Draw24
San Marino55

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Albania

Chance94.2%
Odds1.03

Draw

Chance4%
Odds24

San Marino

Chance1.8%
Odds55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 1.41

AlbaniaSan Marino
Recent form90%10%
Attack69%31%
Defence95%5%
Goals model69%31%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall98%2%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Albania scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Albania conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Albania vs San Marino: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

Albania meet San Marino in the World, UEFA Nations League on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Albania at 1.03. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 94.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Albania vs San Marino FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Albania vs San Marino match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 6 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Albania vs San Marino?

Albania is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.03. The margin-adjusted share is about 94.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.