Match dossier

Bahia vs Mirassol Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 23:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Bahia

6th in table · 53 pts

LLLDW

Sun, 11 Oct 202623:30

1 : 0

LiveTip: 1X · 1.21

Mirassol

13th in table · 40 pts

DWDLW

Pre-match win probability

55.4%Bahia23.7%Draw20.9%Mirassol

Our prediction

1X · Bahia

Bahia vs Mirassol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.21
Confidence82.64%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bahia 55.4%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Mirassol 20.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2183%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6660%Pending
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.9551%Pending
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.7536%Pending

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BahiaMirassol
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.9
Wins
1410
Played
3334

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bahia5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloW
  • 25 OctSantos1 – 1BahiaD
  • 18 OctBahia0 – 3FlamengoL
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaL
  • 20 SeptAtletico Paranaense2 – 1BahiaL
  • 15 SeptBahia2 – 1RemoW
  • 5 SeptRB Bragantino2 – 3BahiaW
  • 30 AugBahia3 – 2InternacionalW
  • 23 AugVitoria0 – 2BahiaW
Mirassol5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovChapecoense-sc1 – 2MirassolW
  • 31 OctCorinthians2 – 0MirassolL
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 17 OctMirassol2 – 0InternacionalW
  • 7 OctRB Bragantino1 – 1MirassolD
  • 27 SeptUberlandia0 – 4MirassolW
  • 19 SeptMirassol2 – 0BotafogoW
  • 13 SeptMirassol2 – 2VitoriaD
  • 6 SeptCoritiba1 – 2MirassolW
H2H
Head to headBahia 1W · 1D · Mirassol 1W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 11 AprMirassol1 – 2Bahia
  • 31 AugMirassol5 – 1Bahia
  • 13 AprBahia1 – 1Mirassol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Bahia1.73
Draw4.04
Mirassol4.59

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Bahia

Chance55.4%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4.04

Mirassol

Chance20.9%
Odds4.59

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.21

BahiaMirassol
Recent form47%53%
Attack49%51%
Defence40%60%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Bahia scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Bahia conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Bahia vs Mirassol: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Bahia meet Mirassol in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bahia at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bahia vs Mirassol FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Bahia vs Mirassol match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Bahia vs Mirassol?

Bahia is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.