Match dossier

Willem II vs Excelsior Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 5 Sept 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Willem II

18th in table · 2 pts

LLLWL

Sat, 5 Sept 202620:00

0 : 3

Full timeTip: GG · 1.51

Excelsior

15th in table · 11 pts

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

33%Willem II26.4%Draw40.7%Excelsior

Our prediction

GG · Willem II

Willem II vs Excelsior listed tip from the board.

Odds1.51
Confidence66.23%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Willem II 33%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Excelsior 40.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5166%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.9026%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6760%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2978%Won

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Willem IIExcelsior
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
3.42.9
Wins
03
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Willem II1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctPSV Eindhoven7 – 0Willem IIL
  • 27 OctHelmond Sport3 – 4Willem IIW
  • 24 OctWillem II1 – 6CambuurL
  • 17 OctSparta Rotterdam3 – 2Willem IIL
  • 11 OctUtrecht3 – 1Willem IIL
  • 19 SeptWillem II0 – 1Fortuna SittardL
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIL
  • 11 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Willem IID
  • 30 AugWillem II2 – 2HeerenveenD
Excelsior2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovExcelsior0 – 9TwenteL
  • 28 OctMVV0 – 3ExcelsiorW
  • 25 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 16 OctHeerenveen4 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 11 OctExcelsior1 – 5GroningenL
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 13 SeptExcelsior1 – 2UtrechtL
  • 8 SeptNEC Nijmegen2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 29 AugExcelsior2 – 1Sparta RotterdamW
H2H
Head to headWillem II 3W · 4D · Excelsior 2W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 30 DecWillem II3 – 1Excelsior
  • 17 JulWillem II2 – 0Excelsior
  • 21 AprExcelsior1 – 1Willem II
  • 15 SeptWillem II2 – 2Excelsior
  • 6 AprExcelsior2 – 1Willem II
  • 13 AugWillem II1 – 2Excelsior
  • 25 FebExcelsior0 – 2Willem II
  • 17 SeptWillem II1 – 1Excelsior
  • 5 FebExcelsior0 – 0Willem II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Willem II2.91
Draw3.64
Excelsior2.36

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Willem II

Chance33%
Odds2.91

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.64

Excelsior

Chance40.7%
Odds2.36

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.51

Willem IIExcelsior
Recent form38%62%
Attack52%48%
Defence50%50%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall45%55%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Willem II scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Willem II conceded 3.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Willem II vs Excelsior: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Willem II meet Excelsior in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Excelsior at 2.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Willem II vs Excelsior FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Willem II vs Excelsior match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Willem II vs Excelsior?

Excelsior is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.