Match dossier

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 5 Sept 2026 · 19:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Ajax

2nd in table · 24 pts

LWWWW

Sat, 5 Sept 202619:00

1 : 3

Full timeTip: GG · 1.29

PSV Eindhoven

3rd in table · 23 pts

LWDWL

Pre-match win probability

36.1%Ajax24.2%Draw39.7%PSV Eindhoven

Our prediction

GG · Ajax

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven listed tip from the board.

Odds1.29
Confidence77.52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 36.1%
  • Draw 24.2%
  • PSV Eindhoven 39.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.2978%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.9034%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.1785%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6262%Won

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxPSV Eindhoven
Goals scored (avg)
2.72
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.1
Wins
77
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ajax6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
PSV Eindhoven4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 4 NovPSV Eindhoven1 – 2Club Brugge KVL
  • 31 OctPSV Eindhoven7 – 0Willem IIW
  • 25 OctPSV Eindhoven1 – 1FeyenoordD
  • 20 OctFC Porto0 – 1PSV EindhovenW
  • 17 OctADO Den Haag2 – 1PSV EindhovenL
  • 13 OctRB Leipzig1 – 0PSV EindhovenL
  • 9 OctPSV Eindhoven2 – 0HeerenveenW
  • 20 SeptTwente3 – 2PSV EindhovenL
  • 13 SeptPSV Eindhoven4 – 1Sparta RotterdamW
  • 10 SeptPSV Eindhoven1 – 1Shakhtar DonetskD
H2H
Head to headAjax 2W · 4D · PSV Eindhoven 3W · 3.6 goals a game
  • 2 MayAjax2 – 2PSV Eindhoven
  • 21 SeptPSV Eindhoven2 – 2Ajax
  • 30 MarPSV Eindhoven0 – 2Ajax
  • 2 NovAjax3 – 2PSV Eindhoven
  • 3 FebAjax1 – 1PSV Eindhoven
  • 29 OctPSV Eindhoven5 – 2Ajax
  • 30 AprAjax1 – 1PSV Eindhoven
  • 23 AprPSV Eindhoven3 – 0Ajax
  • 6 NovAjax1 – 2PSV Eindhoven

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Ajax2.66
Draw3.96
PSV Eindhoven2.42

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Ajax

Chance36.1%
Odds2.66

Draw

Chance24.2%
Odds3.96

PSV Eindhoven

Chance39.7%
Odds2.42

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.29

AjaxPSV Eindhoven
Recent form59%41%
Attack57%43%
Defence50%50%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax scored 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Ajax meet PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is PSV Eindhoven at 2.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.