Match dossier

Wales vs Denmark Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Wales

3rd in table · 3 pts

DLLLW

Sun, 4 Oct 2026·19:45

0 : 1

Full timeTip: 2 · 2.00

Denmark

2nd in table · 6 pts

DWLWL

Win probability

25.8%Wales25.8%Draw48.5%Denmark

Our prediction

2 · Wales

Wales vs Denmark listed tip from the board.

Odds2.00
Confidence50.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Wales 25.8%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Denmark 48.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 2.0050%Won
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3077%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6262%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2183%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6Odds 1.1785%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3475%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

WalesDenmark
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.7
Wins
12
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Wales3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 1 OctWales2 – 1NorwayW
  • 27 SeptDenmark2 – 0WalesL
  • 24 SeptPortugal1 – 0WalesL
  • 6 JunRomania2 – 1WalesL
  • 2 JunWales1 – 1GhanaD
  • 31 MarWales1 – 1Northern IrelandD
  • 26 MarWales1 – 1Bosnia & HerzegovinaD
  • 18 NovWales7 – 1FYR MacedoniaW
  • 15 NovLiechtenstein0 – 1WalesW
Denmark3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 1 OctDenmark2 – 4PortugalL
  • 27 SeptDenmark2 – 0WalesW
  • 24 SeptNorway3 – 2DenmarkL
  • 7 JunDenmark2 – 1UkraineW
  • 3 JunCongo DR0 – 0DenmarkD
  • 31 MarCzechia1 – 1DenmarkD
  • 26 MarDenmark4 – 0FYR MacedoniaW
  • 18 NovScotland4 – 2DenmarkL
  • 15 NovDenmark2 – 2BelarusD
H2H
Head to headWales 0W · 0D · Denmark 4W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 27 SeptDenmark2 – 0Wales
  • 26 JunWales0 – 4Denmark
  • 16 NovWales1 – 2Denmark
  • 9 SeptDenmark2 – 0Wales

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Wales3.76
Draw3.76
Denmark2

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Wales

Chance25.8%
Odds3.76

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.76

Denmark

Chance48.5%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.00

WalesDenmark
Recent form50%50%
Attack46%54%
Defence59%41%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall35%65%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Wales scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Wales conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Wales vs Denmark: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Wales meet Denmark in the World, UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Denmark at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Wales vs Denmark FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Wales vs Denmark match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Wales vs Denmark?

Denmark is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.