Match dossier

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Azerbaijan

1st in table · 5 pts

LWWDD

Sun, 4 Oct 202614:00

1 : 0

Full timeTip: 2 · 3.36

Lithuania

2nd in table · 4 pts

DLWDW

Pre-match win probability

41.7%Azerbaijan29.2%Draw29.1%Lithuania

Our prediction

2 · Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania listed tip from the board.

Odds3.36
Confidence29.76%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Azerbaijan 41.7%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Lithuania 29.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 3.3630%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.5664%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.2083%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.5565%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.5228%Lost
  • Banker of the DayOver 1.5Odds 1.5664%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AzerbaijanLithuania
Goals scored (avg)
1.31
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21
Wins
11
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Azerbaijan3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 1 OctAzerbaijan0 – 0LiechtensteinD
  • 27 SeptLithuania1 – 1AzerbaijanD
  • 23 SeptAzerbaijan1 – 0TajikistanW
  • 9 JunAzerbaijan2 – 1San MarinoW
  • 5 JunAzerbaijan0 – 2MaltaL
  • 30 MarAzerbaijan1 – 1Sierra LeoneD
  • 27 MarAzerbaijan6 – 1St. LuciaW
  • 16 NovAzerbaijan1 – 3FranceL
  • 13 NovAzerbaijan0 – 2IcelandL
Lithuania3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 30 SeptLithuania3 – 0AndorraW
  • 27 SeptLithuania1 – 1AzerbaijanD
  • 24 SeptLiechtenstein0 – 2LithuaniaW
  • 9 JunEstonia1 – 0LithuaniaL
  • 6 JunLithuania1 – 1LatviaD
  • 29 MarLithuania0 – 2GeorgiaL
  • 26 MarMoldova0 – 2LithuaniaW
  • 17 NovNetherlands4 – 0LithuaniaL
  • 13 NovLithuania0 – 0IsraelD
H2H
Head to headAzerbaijan 0W · 2D · Lithuania 0W · 1 goals a game
  • 27 SeptLithuania1 – 1Azerbaijan
  • 25 MarAzerbaijan0 – 0Lithuania

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Azerbaijan2.33
Draw3.32
Lithuania3.34

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Azerbaijan

Chance41.7%
Odds2.33

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.32

Lithuania

Chance29.1%
Odds3.34

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.36

AzerbaijanLithuania
Recent form50%50%
Attack57%43%
Defence47%53%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Azerbaijan meet Lithuania in the World, UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Azerbaijan at 2.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Azerbaijan vs Lithuania match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

Azerbaijan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.