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Netherlands vs Serbia Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSun, 4 Oct 2026

Netherlands

1st in table · 8 pts

WDDWD

Sun, 4 Oct 202619:45

2 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.17

Serbia

4th in table · 0 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

81.1%Netherlands12.6%Draw6.2%Serbia

Our prediction

1 · Netherlands

Netherlands vs Serbia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence85.47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Netherlands 81.1%
  • Draw 12.6%
  • Serbia 6.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Home Win1Odds 1.1785%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.3674%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.7956%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5Odds 1.9851%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NetherlandsSerbia
Goals scored (avg)
20.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.22.4
Wins
20
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Netherlands4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 1 OctGreece2 – 2NetherlandsD
  • 27 SeptSerbia1 – 2NetherlandsW
  • 24 SeptNetherlands1 – 1GermanyD
  • 30 JunNetherlands1 – 1MoroccoD
  • 26 JunTunisia1 – 3NetherlandsW
  • 20 JunNetherlands5 – 1SwedenW
  • 14 JunNetherlands2 – 2JapanD
  • 8 JunNetherlands2 – 1UzbekistanW
  • 3 JunNetherlands0 – 1AlgeriaL
Serbia2W 0D 6L in last 8
  • 1 OctGermany2 – 0SerbiaL
  • 27 SeptSerbia1 – 2NetherlandsL
  • 24 SeptSerbia1 – 2GreeceL
  • 5 JunMexico5 – 1SerbiaL
  • 31 MayCape Verde Islands3 – 0SerbiaL
  • 31 MarSerbia2 – 1Saudi ArabiaW
  • 27 MarSpain3 – 0SerbiaL
  • 16 NovSerbia2 – 1LatviaW
H2H
Head to headNetherlands 1W · 0D · Serbia 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 27 SeptSerbia1 – 2Netherlands

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Netherlands1.19
Draw7.65
Serbia15.5

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Netherlands

Chance81.1%
Odds1.19

Draw

Chance12.6%
Odds7.65

Serbia

Chance6.2%
Odds15.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.17

NetherlandsSerbia
Recent form73%27%
Attack69%31%
Defence75%25%
Goals model69%31%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall93%7%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Netherlands scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Netherlands conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Netherlands vs Serbia: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Netherlands meet Serbia in the World, UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Netherlands at 1.19. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 81.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Netherlands vs Serbia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Netherlands vs Serbia match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Netherlands vs Serbia?

Netherlands is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.19. The margin-adjusted share is about 81.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.