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Vitória SC vs Nacional Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 · 15:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026

Vitória SC

13th in table · 9 pts

WLWWD

Sun, 23 Aug 202615:30

1 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 2.19

Nacional

15th in table · 7 pts

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

55.5%Vitória SC24.5%Draw20.1%Nacional

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Vitória SC

Vitória SC vs Nacional listed tip from the board.

Odds2.19
Confidence45.66%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitória SC 55.5%
  • Draw 24.5%
  • Nacional 20.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1946%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Vitória SCNacional
Goals scored (avg)
10.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.9
Wins
22
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vitória SC3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 2 NovGIL Vicente0 – 0Vitória SCD
  • 23 OctVitória SC5 – 0MaritimoW
  • 17 OctRecreativa de Lamelas0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCL
  • 25 SeptChaves0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 12 SeptAcademico Viseu2 – 1Vitória SCL
  • 6 SeptVitória SC0 – 0Casa PiaD
  • 31 AugSC Braga1 – 0Vitória SCL
Nacional2W 0D 7L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalL
  • 25 OctNacional1 – 0SC BragaW
  • 17 OctSanjoanense1 – 0NacionalL
  • 11 OctRio Ave3 – 2NacionalL
  • 19 SeptNacional0 – 4FamalicaoL
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaL
  • 5 SeptSporting CP2 – 0NacionalL
  • 30 AugNacional2 – 3EstrelaL
  • 16 AugNacional2 – 0EstorilW
H2H
Head to headVitória SC 4W · 2D · Nacional 3W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 16 MayNacional2 – 0Vitória SC
  • 2 JanVitória SC2 – 1Nacional
  • 3 MayNacional1 – 2Vitória SC
  • 23 DecVitória SC2 – 2Nacional
  • 26 AprNacional1 – 0Vitória SC
  • 21 JanVitória SC3 – 1Nacional
  • 5 MayVitória SC2 – 2Nacional
  • 2 JanNacional1 – 0Vitória SC
  • 31 MarNacional1 – 2Vitória SC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Vitória SC1.75
Draw3.97
Nacional4.84

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Vitória SC

Chance55.5%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance24.5%
Odds3.97

Nacional

Chance20.1%
Odds4.84

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 2.19

Vitória SCNacional
Recent form67%33%
Attack53%47%
Defence68%32%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Vitória SC scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Vitória SC conceded 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Vitória SC vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Vitória SC meet Nacional in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 23 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitória SC at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vitória SC vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vitória SC vs Nacional match?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vitória SC vs Nacional?

Vitória SC is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.