Match dossier

FC Porto vs Arouca Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 · 20:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

FC Porto

1st in table · 30 pts

LWWWW

Sun, 23 Aug 202620:30

2 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 1.66

Arouca

5th in table · 20 pts

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

80.6%FC Porto12.9%Draw6.5%Arouca

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · FC Porto

FC Porto vs Arouca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.66
Confidence60.24%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Porto 80.6%
  • Draw 12.9%
  • Arouca 6.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.6660%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2679%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC PortoArouca
Goals scored (avg)
2.41.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.90.9
Wins
106
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Porto8W 0D 2L in last 10
  • 4 NovFC Porto4 – 1NapoliW
  • 31 OctFC Porto4 – 0EstorilW
  • 28 OctFC Porto1 – 0Academico ViseuW
  • 24 OctGIL Vicente0 – 1FC PortoW
  • 20 OctFC Porto0 – 1PSV EindhovenL
  • 14 OctReal Betis3 – 2FC PortoL
  • 10 OctMaritimo1 – 2FC PortoW
  • 2 OctDeportivo La Coruna1 – 3FC PortoW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaW
  • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoW
Arouca6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalW
  • 24 OctAlverca0 – 1AroucaW
  • 18 OctCF Os Belenenses3 – 4AroucaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaW
  • 19 SeptSporting CP2 – 2AroucaD
  • 13 SeptArouca1 – 2Santa ClaraL
  • 7 SeptEstoril0 – 0AroucaD
  • 29 AugArouca2 – 1MaritimoW
  • 16 AugArouca4 – 0MoreirenseW
H2H
Head to headFC Porto 7W · 1D · Arouca 1W · 3.6 goals a game
  • 27 FebFC Porto3 – 1Arouca
  • 29 SeptArouca0 – 4FC Porto
  • 1 MarArouca0 – 2FC Porto
  • 29 SeptFC Porto4 – 0Arouca
  • 12 FebArouca3 – 2FC Porto
  • 3 SeptFC Porto1 – 1Arouca
  • 8 MayArouca0 – 1FC Porto
  • 11 JanFC Porto4 – 0Arouca
  • 28 DecFC Porto5 – 1Arouca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

FC Porto1.2
Draw7.5
Arouca15

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

FC Porto

Chance80.6%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance12.9%
Odds7.5

Arouca

Chance6.5%
Odds15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 1.66

FC PortoArouca
Recent form55%45%
Attack57%43%
Defence50%50%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall93%7%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

FC Porto scored 2.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

FC Porto conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

FC Porto vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

FC Porto meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 23 August 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Porto at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 80.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Porto vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FC Porto vs Arouca match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FC Porto vs Arouca?

FC Porto is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 80.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.