Match dossier

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026

Union Berlin

16th in table · 7 pts

WWDLD

Sat, 17 Oct 202614:30

0 : 0

Full timeTip: 2 · 1.63

Borussia Dortmund

2nd in table · 18 pts

LWWWD

Pre-match win probability

18.4%Union Berlin21.3%Draw60.3%Borussia Dortmund

Our prediction

2 · Union Berlin

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund listed tip from the board.

Odds1.63
Confidence61.35%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union Berlin 18.4%
  • Draw 21.3%
  • Borussia Dortmund 60.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 1.6361%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.3077%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6760%Lost
  • corners ouOver 7Odds 1.2580%Lost

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.71.1
Wins
15
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Union Berlin2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovUnion Berlin1 – 11. FC KölnD
  • 27 Oct1. FC Köln5 – 0Union BerlinL
  • 24 OctFC Augsburg1 – 1Union BerlinD
  • 10 OctUnion Berlin1 – 0SV ElversbergW
  • 26 SeptHNK Rijeka0 – 1Union BerlinW
  • 18 SeptBayern München7 – 0Union BerlinL
  • 11 SeptUnion Berlin1 – 3FC Schalke 04L
  • 5 SeptBayer Leverkusen4 – 0Union BerlinL
  • 29 AugUnion Berlin3 – 3Eintracht FrankfurtD
Borussia Dortmund6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctBayern München2 – 2Borussia DortmundD
  • 27 OctBorussia Dortmund3 – 2Werder BremenW
  • 24 OctBorussia Dortmund1 – 0Eintracht FrankfurtW
  • 20 OctSabah FA1 – 2Borussia DortmundW
  • 14 OctBodo/Glimt1 – 0Borussia DortmundL
  • 9 OctBorussia Dortmund2 – 2Werder BremenD
  • 19 SeptVfB Stuttgart0 – 1Borussia DortmundW
  • 12 SeptBorussia Dortmund3 – 0SC Paderborn 07W
  • 8 SeptBorussia Dortmund3 – 2VillarrealW
H2H
Head to headUnion Berlin 2W · 0D · Borussia Dortmund 7W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 24 JanUnion Berlin0 – 3Borussia Dortmund
  • 31 AugBorussia Dortmund3 – 0Union Berlin
  • 22 FebBorussia Dortmund6 – 0Union Berlin
  • 5 OctUnion Berlin2 – 1Borussia Dortmund
  • 2 MarUnion Berlin0 – 2Borussia Dortmund
  • 7 OctBorussia Dortmund4 – 2Union Berlin
  • 8 AprBorussia Dortmund2 – 1Union Berlin
  • 16 OctUnion Berlin2 – 0Borussia Dortmund
  • 13 FebUnion Berlin0 – 3Borussia Dortmund

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Union Berlin5.34
Draw4.62
Borussia Dortmund1.63

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Union Berlin

Chance18.4%
Odds5.34

Draw

Chance21.3%
Odds4.62

Borussia Dortmund

Chance60.3%
Odds1.63

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.63

Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund
Recent form31%69%
Attack32%68%
Defence14%86%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall23%77%

Trends

Trend · Bundesliga

Union Berlin scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Union Berlin conceded 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Union Berlin meet Borussia Dortmund in the Germany, Bundesliga on 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Borussia Dortmund at 1.63. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.63. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.