Match dossier

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026

FC Schalke 04

17th in table · 6 pts

WLDLL

Sat, 17 Oct 202614:30

0 : 1

Full timeTip: X · 3.68

FSV Mainz 05

9th in table · 10 pts

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

31.2%FC Schalke 0426.8%Draw42.1%FSV Mainz 05

Our prediction

X · FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 listed tip from the board.

Odds3.68
Confidence70.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Schalke 04 31.2%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • FSV Mainz 05 42.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.6870%Lost
  • corners ouOver 9.5Odds 1.9152%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6262%Won

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
Goals scored (avg)
1.12.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
12.1
Wins
13
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Schalke 043W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctFC Schalke 040 – 2RB LeipzigL
  • 28 OctDynamo Dresden2 – 0FC Schalke 04L
  • 24 Oct1. FC Köln0 – 0FC Schalke 04D
  • 11 OctSC Freiburg2 – 1FC Schalke 04L
  • 3 OctAustria Lustenau0 – 1FC Schalke 04W
  • 24 SeptRot-weiss Oberhausen2 – 5FC Schalke 04W
  • 20 SeptFC Schalke 040 – 0SV ElversbergD
  • 11 SeptUnion Berlin1 – 3FC Schalke 04W
  • 5 SeptFC Schalke 040 – 0Bayern MünchenD
FSV Mainz 053W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 30 OctSV Elversberg4 – 1FSV Mainz 05L
  • 27 OctVfL Bochum2 – 0FSV Mainz 05L
  • 24 OctFSV Mainz 052 – 3Werder BremenL
  • 10 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 3 OctWaldhof Mannheim0 – 3FSV Mainz 05W
  • 19 SeptBorussia Mönchengladbach3 – 4FSV Mainz 05W
  • 12 SeptFSV Mainz 051 – 3Eintracht FrankfurtL
  • 6 SeptHamburger SV0 – 5FSV Mainz 05W
  • 29 AugFSV Mainz 050 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
H2H
Head to headFC Schalke 04 5W · 3D · FSV Mainz 05 1W · 2 goals a game
  • 5 MayFSV Mainz 052 – 3FC Schalke 04
  • 9 NovFC Schalke 041 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 5 MarFC Schalke 040 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 7 NovFSV Mainz 052 – 2FC Schalke 04
  • 16 FebFSV Mainz 050 – 0FC Schalke 04
  • 20 SeptFC Schalke 042 – 1FSV Mainz 05
  • 23 FebFSV Mainz 053 – 0FC Schalke 04
  • 29 SeptFC Schalke 041 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 9 MarFSV Mainz 050 – 1FC Schalke 04

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

FC Schalke 043.16
Draw3.68
FSV Mainz 052.34

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

FC Schalke 04

Chance31.2%
Odds3.16

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.68

FSV Mainz 05

Chance42.1%
Odds2.34

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.68

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
Recent form55%45%
Attack34%66%
Defence69%31%
Goals model34%66%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04 scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04 conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

FC Schalke 04 meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany, Bundesliga on 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 2.34. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.34. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.