Match dossier

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Bulgaria · First League · Mon, 17 Aug 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Bulgaria · First LeagueMon, 17 Aug 2026

Spartak Varna

8th in table · 13 pts

LWWLL

Mon, 17 Aug 202617:00

0 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 4.06

Septemvri Sofia

14th in table · 8 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

48.3%Spartak Varna28.4%Draw23.3%Septemvri Sofia

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia listed tip from the board.

Odds4.06
Confidence24.63%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Spartak Varna 48.3%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Septemvri Sofia 23.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 4.0625%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.5067%Lost

Season statistics

First League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Goals scored (avg)
0.91
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.12
Wins
32
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Spartak Varna2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctCSKA 19486 – 1Spartak VarnaL
  • 24 OctDunav Ruse2 – 0Spartak VarnaL
  • 19 OctEtar Veliko Tarnovo2 – 4Spartak VarnaW
  • 10 OctBotev Vratsa0 – 1Spartak VarnaW
  • 20 SeptSpartak Varna0 – 1Lokomotiv SofiaL
  • 13 SeptSlavia Sofia0 – 0Spartak VarnaD
  • 5 SeptSpartak Varna1 – 1CSKA SofiaD
  • 30 AugSpartak Varna1 – 1LudogoretsD
  • 22 AugLevski Sofia6 – 0Spartak VarnaL
Septemvri Sofia1W 1D 7L in last 9
  • 2 NovArda Kardzhali2 – 1Septemvri SofiaL
  • 27 OctCherno More Varna2 – 0Septemvri SofiaL
  • 17 OctLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2 – 1Septemvri SofiaL
  • 11 OctSeptemvri Sofia2 – 3Dunav RuseL
  • 19 SeptSeptemvri Sofia0 – 3Botev PlovdivL
  • 14 SeptLudogorets2 – 1Septemvri SofiaL
  • 4 SeptSeptemvri Sofia2 – 3Botev VratsaL
  • 28 AugSlavia Sofia1 – 1Septemvri SofiaD
  • 23 AugSeptemvri Sofia1 – 0CSKA 1948W
H2H
Head to headSpartak Varna 5W · 1D · Septemvri Sofia 3W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 14 MaySeptemvri Sofia1 – 0Spartak Varna
  • 16 AprSeptemvri Sofia0 – 0Spartak Varna
  • 7 NovSpartak Varna1 – 4Septemvri Sofia
  • 16 MarSpartak Varna4 – 2Septemvri Sofia
  • 30 SeptSeptemvri Sofia0 – 1Spartak Varna
  • 5 AprSeptemvri Sofia0 – 2Spartak Varna
  • 24 SeptSpartak Varna1 – 2Septemvri Sofia
  • 31 MaySpartak Varna1 – 0Septemvri Sofia
  • 24 AprSpartak Varna2 – 0Septemvri Sofia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Spartak Varna1.93
Draw3.28
Septemvri Sofia4

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Spartak Varna

Chance48.3%
Odds1.93

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.28

Septemvri Sofia

Chance23.3%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 4.06

Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Recent form69%31%
Attack47%53%
Defence47%53%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · First League

Spartak Varna scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · First League

Spartak Varna conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · First League

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · First League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia: prediction & preview

Bulgaria · First League · Mon, 17 Aug 2026

Spartak Varna meet Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria, First League on 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spartak Varna at 1.93. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 17 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?

Spartak Varna is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.93. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.