Match dossier

Southampton vs Stoke City Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 22 Aug 2026

Southampton

5th in table · 23 pts

WWDWW

Sat, 22 Aug 202615:00

3 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 1.98

Stoke City

7th in table · 23 pts

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

58.5%Southampton22.8%Draw18.7%Stoke City

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Southampton

Southampton vs Stoke City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.98
Confidence50.51%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southampton 58.5%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • Stoke City 18.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.9851%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SouthamptonStoke City
Goals scored (avg)
21.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.90.8
Wins
87
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Southampton6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctSouthampton4 – 1QPRW
  • 24 OctWest Ham2 – 3SouthamptonW
  • 17 OctSouthampton0 – 0BoltonD
  • 14 OctNorwich0 – 1SouthamptonW
  • 11 OctSouthampton1 – 0PortsmouthW
  • 19 SeptWrexham2 – 1SouthamptonL
  • 12 SeptSouthampton4 – 1Bristol CityW
  • 8 SeptSouthampton3 – 1SwanseaW
  • 5 SeptLincoln1 – 1SouthamptonD
Stoke City6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctStoke City2 – 0PrestonW
  • 24 OctStoke City0 – 0Bristol CityD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityW
  • 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughL
  • 10 OctBolton1 – 2Stoke CityW
  • 19 SeptStoke City2 – 1Sheffield UtdW
  • 12 SeptWatford1 – 2Stoke CityW
  • 8 SeptCardiff1 – 1Stoke CityD
  • 5 SeptStoke City4 – 0CharltonW
H2H
Head to headSouthampton 3W · 2D · Stoke City 4W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 31 JanStoke City0 – 2Southampton
  • 23 AugSouthampton1 – 2Stoke City
  • 29 OctSouthampton3 – 2Stoke City
  • 27 AprSouthampton0 – 1Stoke City
  • 3 OctStoke City0 – 1Southampton
  • 3 MarSouthampton0 – 0Stoke City
  • 30 SeptStoke City2 – 1Southampton
  • 21 MaySouthampton0 – 1Stoke City
  • 14 DecStoke City0 – 0Southampton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Southampton1.6
Draw4.1
Stoke City5.02

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Southampton

Chance58.5%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance22.8%
Odds4.1

Stoke City

Chance18.7%
Odds5.02

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 1.98

SouthamptonStoke City
Recent form50%50%
Attack53%47%
Defence49%51%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall76%24%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Southampton scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Southampton conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Southampton vs Stoke City: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Southampton meet Stoke City in the England, Championship on 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Southampton at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southampton vs Stoke City FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Southampton vs Stoke City match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Southampton vs Stoke City?

Southampton is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.