Match dossier

Derby vs Cardiff Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 22 Aug 2026

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

LLDLL

Sat, 22 Aug 202615:00

2 : 2

Full timeTip: X · 3.48

Cardiff

18th in table · 15 pts

WDWLD

Pre-match win probability

47.1%Derby26.9%Draw26%Cardiff

Our prediction

X · Derby

Derby vs Cardiff listed tip from the board.

Odds3.48
Confidence65.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 47.1%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Cardiff 26%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.4865%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.8535%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.6937%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyCardiff
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.21.6
Wins
13
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby0W 3D 7L in last 10
  • 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
  • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
Cardiff3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 4 NovCardiff3 – 3West HamD
  • 31 OctWolves3 – 0CardiffL
  • 24 OctCardiff1 – 0BirminghamW
  • 17 OctMiddlesbrough2 – 2CardiffD
  • 13 OctCardiff5 – 1WatfordW
  • 10 OctBlackburn2 – 1CardiffL
  • 19 SeptCardiff3 – 1CharltonW
  • 12 SeptBolton1 – 0CardiffL
  • 8 SeptCardiff1 – 1Stoke CityD
  • 5 SeptPortsmouth2 – 0CardiffL
H2H
Head to headDerby 2W · 2D · Cardiff 5W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 25 JanCardiff2 – 1Derby
  • 14 SeptDerby1 – 0Cardiff
  • 7 MayDerby0 – 1Cardiff
  • 1 MarCardiff1 – 0Derby
  • 2 MarCardiff4 – 0Derby
  • 28 OctDerby1 – 1Cardiff
  • 14 JulCardiff2 – 1Derby
  • 13 SeptDerby1 – 1Cardiff
  • 24 AprDerby3 – 1Cardiff

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Derby1.99
Draw3.48
Cardiff3.6

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Derby

Chance47.1%
Odds1.99

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.48

Cardiff

Chance26%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.48

DerbyCardiff
Recent form20%80%
Attack27%73%
Defence36%64%
Goals model27%73%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Derby scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Derby conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Championship

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 10.

Derby vs Cardiff: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Derby meet Cardiff in the England, Championship on 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 1.99. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Cardiff FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Derby vs Cardiff match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Derby vs Cardiff?

Derby is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.99. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.