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Sassuolo vs AC Milan Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Sassuolo

17th in table · 8 pts

LLLLL

Sun, 11 Oct 2026·17:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.26

AC Milan

5th in table · 21 pts

LWLWL

Win probability

22.3%Sassuolo25.2%Draw52.6%AC Milan

Our prediction

X2 · Sassuolo

Sassuolo vs AC Milan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.26
Confidence79.37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sassuolo 22.3%
  • Draw 25.2%
  • AC Milan 52.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2679%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6561%Won
  • corners ouOver 6Odds 1.2381%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.7358%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SassuoloAC Milan
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.71.6
Wins
26
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sassuolo2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 2 NovSassuolo2 – 4FiorentinaL
  • 27 OctSassuolo2 – 6LazioL
  • 24 OctComo2 – 0SassuoloL
  • 16 OctFrosinone4 – 2SassuoloL
  • 18 SeptMonza2 – 1SassuoloL
  • 13 SeptSassuolo3 – 2JuventusW
  • 6 SeptBologna2 – 2SassuoloD
  • 2 SeptSassuolo1 – 1FrosinoneD
  • 29 AugSassuolo2 – 1TorinoW
AC Milan5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 5 NovAC Milan0 – 2Ferencvarosi TCL
  • 31 OctAC Milan3 – 1InterW
  • 28 OctAC Milan2 – 4BolognaL
  • 25 OctUdinese0 – 2AC MilanW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanL
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaW
  • 15 OctRed Bull Salzburg0 – 4AC MilanW
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceW
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaL
H2H
Head to headSassuolo 3W · 3D · AC Milan 3W · 3.8 goals a game
  • 3 MaySassuolo2 – 0AC Milan
  • 14 DecAC Milan2 – 2Sassuolo
  • 3 DecAC Milan6 – 1Sassuolo
  • 14 AprSassuolo3 – 3AC Milan
  • 30 DecAC Milan1 – 0Sassuolo
  • 29 JanAC Milan2 – 5Sassuolo
  • 30 AugSassuolo0 – 0AC Milan
  • 22 MaySassuolo0 – 3AC Milan
  • 28 NovAC Milan1 – 3Sassuolo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Sassuolo4.42
Draw3.91
AC Milan1.87

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Sassuolo

Chance22.3%
Odds4.42

Draw

Chance25.2%
Odds3.91

AC Milan

Chance52.6%
Odds1.87

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.26

SassuoloAC Milan
Recent form35%65%
Attack47%53%
Defence18%82%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall30%70%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Sassuolo scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Sassuolo conceded 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Sassuolo meet AC Milan in the Italy, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.87. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Sassuolo vs AC Milan match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.87. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.