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Lecce vs Bologna Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Lecce

14th in table · 9 pts

LWLLL

Sun, 11 Oct 202614:00

1 : 2

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.32

Bologna

9th in table · 14 pts

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

21.5%Lecce28.7%Draw49.8%Bologna

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Lecce

Lecce vs Bologna listed tip from the board.

Odds1.32
Confidence49.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lecce 21.5%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Bologna 49.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.32Won
  • DrawsXOdds 3.4470%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.3276%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.0Odds 3.7527%Lost
  • Banker of the DayOver 1.5Odds 1.3276%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6760%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2580%Won

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LecceBologna
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.3
Wins
34
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lecce3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovLecce1 – 2GenoaL
  • 29 OctFrosinone5 – 1LecceL
  • 25 OctLecce0 – 2JuventusL
  • 18 OctUdinese0 – 3LecceW
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceL
  • 13 SeptLecce3 – 2MonzaW
  • 7 SeptCagliari1 – 0LecceL
  • 31 AugLecce0 – 4AS RomaL
  • 23 AugVenezia0 – 2LecceW
Bologna3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctBologna2 – 1MonzaW
  • 28 OctAC Milan2 – 4BolognaW
  • 24 OctCagliari0 – 2BolognaW
  • 17 OctBologna1 – 3InterL
  • 19 SeptBologna1 – 1TorinoD
  • 13 SeptNapoli1 – 0BolognaL
  • 6 SeptBologna2 – 2SassuoloD
  • 31 AugAtalanta1 – 0BolognaL
  • 24 AugBologna0 – 1LazioL
H2H
Head to headLecce 0W · 3D · Bologna 6W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 12 AprBologna2 – 0Lecce
  • 28 SeptLecce2 – 2Bologna
  • 9 FebLecce0 – 0Bologna
  • 2 NovBologna1 – 0Lecce
  • 11 FebBologna4 – 0Lecce
  • 3 DecLecce1 – 1Bologna
  • 4 JunLecce2 – 3Bologna
  • 23 OctBologna2 – 0Lecce
  • 26 JulBologna3 – 2Lecce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Lecce4.58
Draw3.44
Bologna1.98

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Lecce

Chance21.5%
Odds4.58

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.44

Bologna

Chance49.8%
Odds1.98

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.32

LecceBologna
Recent form45%55%
Attack46%54%
Defence35%65%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall30%70%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Lecce scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Lecce conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Lecce vs Bologna: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Lecce meet Bologna in the Italy, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bologna at 1.98. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lecce vs Bologna FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lecce vs Bologna match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lecce vs Bologna?

Bologna is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.98. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.