Match dossier

Portugal vs Norway Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal

1st in table · 12 pts

WLWWW

Sun, 4 Oct 202619:45

2 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.20

Norway

4th in table · 3 pts

WLWLL

Pre-match win probability

58.5%Portugal21.1%Draw20.4%Norway

Our prediction

1X · Portugal

Portugal vs Norway listed tip from the board.

Odds1.20
Confidence83.33%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portugal 58.5%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • Norway 20.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2083%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4370%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.8535%Lost
  • Single Bet1XOdds 1.2083%Won
  • Banker of the DayGGOdds 1.4370%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5Odds 2.0449%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.4541%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PortugalNorway
Goals scored (avg)
1.92
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.9
Wins
41
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Portugal6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 1 OctDenmark2 – 4PortugalW
  • 27 SeptNorway1 – 2PortugalW
  • 24 SeptPortugal1 – 0WalesW
  • 6 JulPortugal0 – 1SpainL
  • 3 JulPortugal2 – 1CroatiaW
  • 28 JunColombia0 – 0PortugalD
  • 23 JunPortugal5 – 0UzbekistanW
  • 17 JunPortugal1 – 1Congo DRD
  • 10 JunPortugal2 – 1NigeriaW
Norway5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 1 OctWales2 – 1NorwayL
  • 27 SeptNorway1 – 2PortugalL
  • 24 SeptNorway3 – 2DenmarkW
  • 11 JulNorway1 – 2EnglandL
  • 5 JulBrazil1 – 2NorwayW
  • 30 JunIvory Coast1 – 2NorwayW
  • 26 JunNorway1 – 4FranceL
  • 23 JunNorway3 – 2SenegalW
  • 16 JunIraq1 – 4NorwayW
H2H
Head to headPortugal 1W · 0D · Norway 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 27 SeptNorway1 – 2Portugal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Portugal1.66
Draw4.6
Norway4.75

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Portugal

Chance58.5%
Odds1.66

Draw

Chance21.1%
Odds4.6

Norway

Chance20.4%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.20

PortugalNorway
Recent form57%43%
Attack49%51%
Defence67%33%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Portugal scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Portugal conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Portugal vs Norway: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Portugal meet Norway in the World, UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portugal at 1.66. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portugal vs Norway FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Portugal vs Norway match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Portugal vs Norway?

Portugal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.66. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.