Match dossier

Norway vs Portugal Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 27 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Norway

4th in table · 3 pts

WLWLL

Sun, 27 Sept 202619:45

1 : 2

Full timeTip: X · 3.76

Portugal

1st in table · 12 pts

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

36%Norway25.5%Draw38.5%Portugal

Our prediction

X · Norway

Norway vs Portugal listed tip from the board.

Odds3.76
Confidence66.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Norway 36%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Portugal 38.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.7666%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 5.4019%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • free 2 oddsGGOdds 1.65Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.6760%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NorwayPortugal
Goals scored (avg)
21.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.90.8
Wins
14
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Norway5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 4 OctPortugal2 – 1NorwayL
  • 1 OctWales2 – 1NorwayL
  • 24 SeptNorway3 – 2DenmarkW
  • 11 JulNorway1 – 2EnglandL
  • 5 JulBrazil1 – 2NorwayW
  • 30 JunIvory Coast1 – 2NorwayW
  • 26 JunNorway1 – 4FranceL
  • 23 JunNorway3 – 2SenegalW
  • 16 JunIraq1 – 4NorwayW
Portugal6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 4 OctPortugal2 – 1NorwayW
  • 1 OctDenmark2 – 4PortugalW
  • 24 SeptPortugal1 – 0WalesW
  • 6 JulPortugal0 – 1SpainL
  • 3 JulPortugal2 – 1CroatiaW
  • 28 JunColombia0 – 0PortugalD
  • 23 JunPortugal5 – 0UzbekistanW
  • 17 JunPortugal1 – 1Congo DRD
  • 10 JunPortugal2 – 1NigeriaW
H2H
Head to headNorway 0W · 0D · Portugal 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 4 OctPortugal2 – 1Norway

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Norway2.69
Draw3.8
Portugal2.52

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Norway

Chance36%
Odds2.69

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.8

Portugal

Chance38.5%
Odds2.52

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.76

NorwayPortugal
Recent form43%57%
Attack51%49%
Defence33%67%
Goals model51%49%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Norway scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Norway conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 9 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Both teams scored in 9 of those 9.

Norway vs Portugal: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Norway meet Portugal in the World, UEFA Nations League on 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portugal at 2.52. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Norway vs Portugal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Norway vs Portugal match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Norway vs Portugal?

Portugal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.52. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.