Match dossier

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 27 Sept 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Lithuania

2nd in table · 4 pts

DLWWL

Sun, 27 Sept 202614:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: 2 · 3.52

Azerbaijan

1st in table · 5 pts

LWWDW

Pre-match win probability

37.9%Lithuania31.5%Draw30.5%Azerbaijan

Our prediction

2 · Lithuania

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan listed tip from the board.

Odds3.52
Confidence28.41%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lithuania 37.9%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Azerbaijan 30.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 3.5228%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.4469%Won

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LithuaniaAzerbaijan
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.1
Wins
11
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lithuania3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 4 OctAzerbaijan1 – 0LithuaniaL
  • 30 SeptLithuania3 – 0AndorraW
  • 24 SeptLiechtenstein0 – 2LithuaniaW
  • 9 JunEstonia1 – 0LithuaniaL
  • 6 JunLithuania1 – 1LatviaD
  • 29 MarLithuania0 – 2GeorgiaL
  • 26 MarMoldova0 – 2LithuaniaW
  • 17 NovNetherlands4 – 0LithuaniaL
  • 13 NovLithuania0 – 0IsraelD
Azerbaijan4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 4 OctAzerbaijan1 – 0LithuaniaW
  • 1 OctAzerbaijan0 – 0LiechtensteinD
  • 23 SeptAzerbaijan1 – 0TajikistanW
  • 9 JunAzerbaijan2 – 1San MarinoW
  • 5 JunAzerbaijan0 – 2MaltaL
  • 30 MarAzerbaijan1 – 1Sierra LeoneD
  • 27 MarAzerbaijan6 – 1St. LuciaW
  • 16 NovAzerbaijan1 – 3FranceL
  • 13 NovAzerbaijan0 – 2IcelandL
H2H
Head to headLithuania 0W · 1D · Azerbaijan 1W · 0.5 goals a game
  • 4 OctAzerbaijan1 – 0Lithuania
  • 25 MarAzerbaijan0 – 0Lithuania

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Lithuania2.56
Draw3.08
Azerbaijan3.18

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Lithuania

Chance37.9%
Odds2.56

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds3.08

Azerbaijan

Chance30.5%
Odds3.18

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.52

LithuaniaAzerbaijan
Recent form44%56%
Attack41%59%
Defence51%49%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Lithuania scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Lithuania conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Lithuania meet Azerbaijan in the World, UEFA Nations League on 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lithuania at 2.56. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lithuania vs Azerbaijan match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?

Lithuania is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.56. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.