Match dossier

Newcastle vs Liverpool Predictions

England · Premier League · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 · 16:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Newcastle

13th in table · 11 pts

LLWLL

Sun, 23 Aug 202616:30

2 : 2

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.30

Liverpool

5th in table · 15 pts

WWWDL

Pre-match win probability

25%Newcastle24%Draw51%Liverpool

Our prediction

X2 · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Liverpool listed tip from the board.

Odds1.30
Confidence76.92%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 25%
  • Draw 24%
  • Liverpool 51%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeX2Odds 1.3077%Won
  • Away Win2Odds 1.9352%Lost
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3077%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.4469%Won

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleLiverpool
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.3
Wins
34
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Newcastle4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 2 NovNewcastle0 – 1EvertonL
  • 29 OctEverton3 – 1NewcastleL
  • 25 OctCrystal Palace0 – 2NewcastleW
  • 17 OctNewcastle0 – 1Aston VillaL
  • 12 OctCoventry4 – 1NewcastleL
  • 19 SeptNewcastle2 – 1Hull CityW
  • 14 SeptLeeds4 – 1NewcastleL
  • 8 SeptMillwall0 – 1NewcastleW
  • 5 SeptNewcastle2 – 2BournemouthD
  • 29 AugTottenham0 – 2NewcastleW
Liverpool6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 1 NovLiverpool0 – 1ArsenalL
  • 28 OctLiverpool1 – 1ChelseaD
  • 25 OctLiverpool2 – 0BrightonW
  • 20 OctLiverpool4 – 3VillarrealW
  • 17 OctBrentford1 – 2LiverpoolW
  • 14 OctLask Linz3 – 6LiverpoolW
  • 11 OctLiverpool0 – 3Manchester CityL
  • 20 SeptBournemouth0 – 1LiverpoolW
  • 15 SeptLiverpool3 – 1TottenhamW
  • 12 SeptLiverpool0 – 0FulhamD
H2H
Head to headNewcastle 1W · 1D · Liverpool 7W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 31 JanLiverpool4 – 1Newcastle
  • 25 AugNewcastle2 – 3Liverpool
  • 16 MarLiverpool1 – 2Newcastle
  • 26 FebLiverpool2 – 0Newcastle
  • 4 DecNewcastle3 – 3Liverpool
  • 1 JanLiverpool4 – 2Newcastle
  • 27 AugNewcastle1 – 2Liverpool
  • 18 FebNewcastle0 – 2Liverpool
  • 31 AugLiverpool2 – 1Newcastle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Newcastle3.94
Draw4.11
Liverpool1.93

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Newcastle

Chance25%
Odds3.94

Draw

Chance24%
Odds4.11

Liverpool

Chance51%
Odds1.93

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.30

NewcastleLiverpool
Recent form39%61%
Attack39%61%
Defence45%55%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall33%67%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Newcastle scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Newcastle conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Newcastle vs Liverpool: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Newcastle meet Liverpool in the England, Premier League on 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 1.93. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Liverpool FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Newcastle vs Liverpool match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Newcastle vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.93. The margin-adjusted share is about 51%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.