Match dossier

Brighton vs Aston Villa Predictions

England · Premier League · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brighton

3rd in table · 19 pts

WDLDW

Sun, 23 Aug 202614:00

4 : 0

Full timeTip: X · 3.64

Aston Villa

10th in table · 12 pts

WWLDL

Pre-match win probability

43%Brighton27.1%Draw29.9%Aston Villa

Our prediction

X · Brighton

Brighton vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds3.64
Confidence63.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Brighton 43%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Aston Villa 29.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.6463%Lost
  • Correct Score Tips0-0Odds 13.507%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BrightonAston Villa
Goals scored (avg)
2.52.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.4
Wins
63
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Brighton7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctManchester City0 – 1BrightonW
  • 28 OctManchester City2 – 2BrightonD
  • 25 OctLiverpool2 – 0BrightonL
  • 22 OctFK Jablonec0 – 0BrightonD
  • 18 OctBrighton5 – 0Crystal PalaceW
  • 15 OctBrighton4 – 0Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 10 OctSunderland0 – 2BrightonW
  • 19 SeptBrighton3 – 0ArsenalW
  • 16 SeptManchester United2 – 3BrightonW
  • 13 SeptCoventry0 – 5BrightonW
Aston Villa6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 3 NovBarcelona3 – 0Aston VillaL
  • 31 OctAston Villa1 – 1FulhamD
  • 28 OctBournemouth3 – 0Aston VillaL
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityW
  • 21 OctAston Villa3 – 1VikingW
  • 17 OctNewcastle0 – 1Aston VillaW
  • 14 OctAston Villa6 – 0FenerbahçeW
  • 10 OctAston Villa2 – 2BrentfordD
  • 2 OctSevilla1 – 3Aston VillaW
  • 19 SeptTottenham2 – 3Aston VillaW
H2H
Head to headBrighton 1W · 2D · Aston Villa 6W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 11 FebAston Villa1 – 0Brighton
  • 3 DecBrighton3 – 4Aston Villa
  • 2 AprBrighton0 – 3Aston Villa
  • 30 DecAston Villa2 – 2Brighton
  • 5 MayBrighton1 – 0Aston Villa
  • 30 SeptAston Villa6 – 1Brighton
  • 28 MayAston Villa2 – 1Brighton
  • 8 DecAston Villa2 – 2Brighton
  • 13 NovBrighton1 – 2Aston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Brighton2.29
Draw3.64
Aston Villa3.3

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Brighton

Chance43%
Odds2.29

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.64

Aston Villa

Chance29.9%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.64

BrightonAston Villa
Recent form53%47%
Attack54%46%
Defence60%40%
Goals model54%46%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Brighton scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Brighton conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 7 of those 10.

Brighton vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Brighton meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 23 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Brighton at 2.29. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Brighton vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Brighton vs Aston Villa match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Brighton vs Aston Villa?

Brighton is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.29. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.