Match dossier

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Predictions

Kenya · FKF Premier League · Fri, 16 Oct 2026 · 13:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Nairobi United

14th in table · 4 pts

DDDLD

Fri, 16 Oct 202613:00

vs

Not startedTip: 1X · 1.25

Mara Sugar

11th in table · 6 pts

DWDDL

Pre-match win probability

40.8%Nairobi United31.2%Draw28%Mara Sugar

Our prediction

1X · Nairobi United

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence40.8%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nairobi United 40.8%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Mara Sugar 28%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1XOdds 1.25Pending
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2580%Pending
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.5166%Pending

Season statistics

FKF Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Nairobi UnitedMara Sugar
Goals scored (avg)
10.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.1
Wins
01
Played
55

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nairobi United2W 6D 2L in last 10
  • 1 NovNairobi United1 – 1BandariD
  • 28 OctMurang'a SEAL3 – 2Nairobi UnitedL
  • 25 OctNairobi United1 – 1APS BometD
  • 18 OctShabana0 – 0Nairobi UnitedD
  • 11 OctNairobi United2 – 2KCBD
  • 31 MayGOR Mahia0 – 1Nairobi UnitedW
  • 24 MayNairobi United0 – 0Kenya PoliceD
  • 16 MayNairobi United2 – 2Posta Rangers FCD
  • 10 MayKariobangi Sharks2 – 0Nairobi UnitedL
  • 6 MayNairobi United1 – 0TuskerW
Mara Sugar2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 2 NovTusker3 – 1Mara SugarL
  • 28 OctMara Sugar0 – 0AFC LeopardsD
  • 24 OctUlinzi Stars0 – 0Mara SugarD
  • 19 OctMara Sugar2 – 1Mombasa EliteW
  • 11 Oct3K2 – 2Mara SugarD
  • 31 MayMurang'a SEAL2 – 1Mara SugarL
  • 27 MayMara Sugar0 – 0GOR MahiaD
  • 16 MayMara Sugar0 – 1Mathare UnitedL
  • 13 MayMara Sugar1 – 0ShabanaW
  • 9 MayAFC Leopards2 – 1Mara SugarL
H2H
Head to headNairobi United 1W · 3D · Mara Sugar 2W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 1 AprNairobi United1 – 1Mara Sugar
  • 1 OctMara Sugar0 – 1Nairobi United
  • 1 JunNairobi United1 – 1Mara Sugar
  • 1 JunNairobi United1 – 1Mara Sugar
  • 2 JunMara Sugar1 – 0Nairobi United
  • 16 DecNairobi United0 – 2Mara Sugar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Nairobi United2.21
Draw2.89
Mara Sugar3.22

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Nairobi United

Chance40.8%
Odds2.21

Draw

Chance31.2%
Odds2.89

Mara Sugar

Chance28%
Odds3.22

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

Nairobi UnitedMara Sugar
Recent form55%45%
Attack56%44%
Defence50%50%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head42%58%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · FKF Premier League

Nairobi United scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Nairobi United conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar: prediction & preview

Kenya · FKF Premier League · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

Nairobi United meet Mara Sugar in the Kenya, FKF Premier League on 16 October 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nairobi United at 2.21. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar match?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

Nairobi United is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.21. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.