Match dossier

Nacional vs Estoril Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · 15:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Nacional

15th in table · 7 pts

LLLWL

Sun, 16 Aug 202615:30

2 : 0

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.47

Estoril

18th in table · 2 pts

LLDLL

Pre-match win probability

34.6%Nacional29.2%Draw36.2%Estoril

Our prediction

X2 · Nacional

Nacional vs Estoril listed tip from the board.

Odds1.47
Confidence68.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 34.6%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Estoril 36.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4768%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.1232%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.8355%Won

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalEstoril
Goals scored (avg)
0.70.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.9
Wins
20
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional1W 0D 8L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalL
  • 25 OctNacional1 – 0SC BragaW
  • 17 OctSanjoanense1 – 0NacionalL
  • 11 OctRio Ave3 – 2NacionalL
  • 19 SeptNacional0 – 4FamalicaoL
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaL
  • 5 SeptSporting CP2 – 0NacionalL
  • 30 AugNacional2 – 3EstrelaL
  • 23 AugVitória SC1 – 0NacionalL
Estoril0W 2D 7L in last 9
  • 31 OctFC Porto4 – 0EstorilL
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseL
  • 18 OctSalgueiros1 – 1EstorilD
  • 10 OctAcademico Viseu2 – 1EstorilL
  • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaL
  • 14 SeptSC Braga1 – 0EstorilL
  • 7 SeptEstoril0 – 0AroucaD
  • 31 AugBenfica2 – 1EstorilL
  • 22 AugEstoril0 – 2Rio AveL
H2H
Head to headNacional 2W · 2D · Estoril 4W · 2 goals a game
  • 15 MarNacional0 – 1Estoril
  • 26 OctEstoril1 – 1Nacional
  • 15 FebNacional2 – 2Estoril
  • 15 SeptEstoril1 – 0Nacional
  • 25 JulNacional1 – 2Estoril
  • 14 DecEstoril1 – 2Nacional
  • 9 AprEstoril0 – 1Nacional
  • 26 NovNacional0 – 1Estoril

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Nacional2.8
Draw3.32
Estoril2.68

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Nacional

Chance34.6%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.32

Estoril

Chance36.2%
Odds2.68

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.47

NacionalEstoril
Recent form60%40%
Attack54%46%
Defence48%52%
Goals model54%46%
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Nacional scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Nacional conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Nacional vs Estoril: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Nacional meet Estoril in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estoril at 2.68. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional vs Estoril FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Nacional vs Estoril match?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Nacional vs Estoril?

Estoril is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.68. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.