Match dossier

Arouca vs Moreirense Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Arouca

5th in table · 20 pts

DWWWW

Sun, 16 Aug 202618:00

4 : 0

Full timeTip: X · 3.30

Moreirense

9th in table · 14 pts

DLLWW

Pre-match win probability

44.6%Arouca29.3%Draw26%Moreirense

Our prediction

X · Arouca

Arouca vs Moreirense listed tip from the board.

Odds3.30
Confidence67.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arouca 44.6%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Moreirense 26%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.3067%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.0733%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AroucaMoreirense
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.3
Wins
64
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Arouca5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalW
  • 24 OctAlverca0 – 1AroucaW
  • 18 OctCF Os Belenenses3 – 4AroucaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaW
  • 19 SeptSporting CP2 – 2AroucaD
  • 13 SeptArouca1 – 2Santa ClaraL
  • 7 SeptEstoril0 – 0AroucaD
  • 29 AugArouca2 – 1MaritimoW
  • 23 AugFC Porto2 – 0AroucaL
Moreirense4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctMoreirense2 – 1EstrelaW
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseW
  • 17 OctAVS1 – 0MoreirenseL
  • 9 OctMoreirense0 – 1GIL VicenteL
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 14 SeptMoreirense3 – 1MaritimoW
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaL
  • 4 SeptFC Porto2 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseW
H2H
Head to headArouca 3W · 2D · Moreirense 4W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 21 MarMoreirense0 – 1Arouca
  • 2 NovArouca0 – 2Moreirense
  • 24 JanArouca1 – 0Moreirense
  • 18 AugMoreirense3 – 1Arouca
  • 17 MarMoreirense1 – 0Arouca
  • 27 OctArouca0 – 1Moreirense
  • 3 AugArouca0 – 0Moreirense
  • 22 DecMoreirense1 – 2Arouca
  • 26 FebArouca1 – 1Moreirense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Arouca2.17
Draw3.3
Moreirense3.72

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Arouca

Chance44.6%
Odds2.17

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.3

Moreirense

Chance26%
Odds3.72

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.30

AroucaMoreirense
Recent form57%43%
Attack52%48%
Defence53%47%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall63%37%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Arouca scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Arouca conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Arouca vs Moreirense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Arouca meet Moreirense in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arouca at 2.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arouca vs Moreirense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Arouca vs Moreirense match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Arouca vs Moreirense?

Arouca is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.