Match dossier

Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain Predictions

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Manchester City

12th in table · 6 pts

WWLDL

Wed, 14 Oct 202620:00

2 : 4

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.39

Paris Saint Germain

1st in table · 12 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

44%Manchester City24%Draw32.1%Paris Saint Germain

Our prediction

1X · Manchester City

Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain listed tip from the board.

Odds1.39
Confidence71.94%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 44%
  • Draw 24%
  • Paris Saint Germain 32.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3972%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.3972%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.9152%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.8235%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.8355%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2282%Won

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CityParis Saint Germain
Goals scored (avg)
2.83.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.20.8
Wins
24
Played
34

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Manchester City6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctManchester City0 – 1BrightonL
  • 28 OctManchester City2 – 2BrightonD
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityL
  • 20 OctManchester City5 – 1AEK Athens FCW
  • 17 OctManchester City3 – 2IpswichW
  • 11 OctLiverpool0 – 3Manchester CityW
  • 20 SeptManchester City5 – 3SunderlandW
  • 17 SeptManchester City5 – 0NorwichW
  • 13 SeptManchester United0 – 1Manchester CityW
Paris Saint Germain9W 0D 0L in last 9
  • 3 NovVillarreal0 – 6Paris Saint GermainW
  • 30 OctLe Havre1 – 5Paris Saint GermainW
  • 26 OctParis Saint Germain2 – 0LyonW
  • 20 OctParis Saint Germain4 – 2BarcelonaW
  • 17 OctStrasbourg1 – 3Paris Saint GermainW
  • 10 OctParis Saint Germain3 – 1Le MansW
  • 20 SeptMarseille1 – 2Paris Saint GermainW
  • 13 SeptStade Brestois 290 – 1Paris Saint GermainW
  • 9 SeptParis Saint Germain6 – 1Slovan BratislavaW
H2H
Head to headManchester City 4W · 1D · Paris Saint Germain 2W · 3 goals a game
  • 22 JanParis Saint Germain4 – 2Manchester City
  • 24 NovManchester City2 – 1Paris Saint Germain
  • 28 SeptParis Saint Germain2 – 0Manchester City
  • 4 MayManchester City2 – 0Paris Saint Germain
  • 28 AprParis Saint Germain1 – 2Manchester City
  • 12 AprManchester City1 – 0Paris Saint Germain
  • 6 AprParis Saint Germain2 – 2Manchester City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Manchester City2.24
Draw4.11
Paris Saint Germain3.07

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Manchester City

Chance44%
Odds2.24

Draw

Chance24%
Odds4.11

Paris Saint Germain

Chance32.1%
Odds3.07

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.39

Manchester CityParis Saint Germain
Recent form41%59%
Attack44%56%
Defence45%55%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head64%36%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Manchester City scored 2.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Manchester City conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 14 Oct 2026

Manchester City meet Paris Saint Germain in the World, UEFA Champions League on 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 2.24. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 14 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?

Manchester City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.24. The margin-adjusted share is about 44%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.