Match dossier

AS Roma vs Real Madrid Predictions

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

AS Roma

19th in table · 4 pts

WDWWL

Wed, 14 Oct 202620:00

3 : 4

Full timeTip: Over 2.5 · 1.36

Real Madrid

5th in table · 9 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

25.4%AS Roma23.9%Draw50.7%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · AS Roma

AS Roma vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence50.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AS Roma 25.4%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Real Madrid 50.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 2.5Odds 1.36Won
  • Away Win2Odds 1.9950%Won
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3276%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.4469%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 5.5018%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AS RomaReal Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
2.72.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31
Wins
13
Played
43

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AS Roma5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovManchester United3 – 2AS RomaL
  • 31 OctUdinese2 – 5AS RomaW
  • 27 OctAS Roma4 – 2CagliariW
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctAS Roma4 – 0Slovan BratislavaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaW
  • 11 OctComo0 – 0AS RomaD
  • 19 SeptAS Roma2 – 2InterD
  • 14 SeptTorino0 – 2AS RomaW
Real Madrid8W 0D 1L in last 9
  • 1 NovRacing Santander0 – 3Real MadridW
  • 25 OctBarcelona1 – 2Real MadridW
  • 21 OctReal Madrid4 – 1RB LeipzigW
  • 18 OctReal Madrid4 – 1SevillaW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridL
  • 15 SeptElche2 – 3Real MadridW
  • 12 SeptReal Madrid4 – 1Rayo VallecanoW
  • 8 SeptReal Madrid2 – 1InterW
H2H
Head to headAS Roma 0W · 0D · Real Madrid 5W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 27 NovAS Roma0 – 2Real Madrid
  • 19 SeptReal Madrid3 – 0AS Roma
  • 8 AugReal Madrid2 – 1AS Roma
  • 8 MarReal Madrid2 – 0AS Roma
  • 17 FebAS Roma0 – 2Real Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

AS Roma3.88
Draw4.11
Real Madrid1.94

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

AS Roma

Chance25.4%
Odds3.88

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds4.11

Real Madrid

Chance50.7%
Odds1.94

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.36

AS RomaReal Madrid
Recent form43%57%
Attack50%50%
Defence46%54%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall33%67%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

AS Roma scored 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

AS Roma conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

AS Roma vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 14 Oct 2026

AS Roma meet Real Madrid in the World, UEFA Champions League on 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.94. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AS Roma vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is the AS Roma vs Real Madrid match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 14 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for AS Roma vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.94. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.