Match dossier

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Predictions

Scotland · Premiership · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Scotland · PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026

Kilmarnock

11th in table · 9 pts

DLLLD

Sat, 17 Oct 202615:00

3 : 2

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.33

Motherwell

9th in table · 12 pts

LLLDW

Pre-match win probability

28.5%Kilmarnock25.7%Draw45.8%Motherwell

Our prediction

X2 · Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence75.19%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Kilmarnock 28.5%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Motherwell 45.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3375%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6760%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.4029%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6262%Lost

Season statistics

Premiership · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

KilmarnockMotherwell
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.8
Wins
23
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Kilmarnock1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctKilmarnock2 – 2ST JohnstoneD
  • 28 OctDundee3 – 1KilmarnockL
  • 24 OctFalkirk3 – 0KilmarnockL
  • 10 OctRangers3 – 1KilmarnockL
  • 19 SeptKilmarnock1 – 1Heart Of MidlothianD
  • 15 SeptHibernian0 – 1KilmarnockW
  • 12 SeptKilmarnock1 – 1AberdeenD
  • 5 SeptAberdeen0 – 0KilmarnockD
  • 2 SeptKilmarnock0 – 1ST MirrenL
Motherwell2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctMotherwell1 – 0ST MirrenW
  • 28 OctST Johnstone2 – 2MotherwellD
  • 25 OctMotherwell0 – 2Heart Of MidlothianL
  • 11 OctMotherwell0 – 2CelticL
  • 19 SeptDundee2 – 1MotherwellL
  • 15 SeptMotherwell0 – 4AberdeenL
  • 5 SeptRangers1 – 0MotherwellL
  • 2 SeptMotherwell3 – 0Dundee UtdW
  • 30 AugST Mirren3 – 3MotherwellD
H2H
Head to headKilmarnock 1W · 4D · Motherwell 4W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 24 JanMotherwell4 – 0Kilmarnock
  • 22 NovKilmarnock1 – 3Motherwell
  • 30 AugMotherwell2 – 2Kilmarnock
  • 14 MayMotherwell3 – 0Kilmarnock
  • 5 AprKilmarnock2 – 0Motherwell
  • 8 JanKilmarnock0 – 0Motherwell
  • 20 DecMotherwell1 – 1Kilmarnock
  • 18 AugMotherwell1 – 0Kilmarnock
  • 3 FebMotherwell1 – 1Kilmarnock

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Kilmarnock3.28
Draw3.64
Motherwell2.04

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Kilmarnock

Chance28.5%
Odds3.28

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.64

Motherwell

Chance45.8%
Odds2.04

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.33

KilmarnockMotherwell
Recent form47%53%
Attack42%58%
Defence54%46%
Goals model42%58%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall38%62%

Trends

Trend · Premiership

Kilmarnock scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premiership

Kilmarnock conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premiership

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Premiership

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell: prediction & preview

Scotland · Premiership · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Kilmarnock meet Motherwell in the Scotland, Premiership on 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Motherwell at 2.04. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Kilmarnock vs Motherwell match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?

Motherwell is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.04. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.