Match dossier

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Predictions

Scotland · Premiership · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Scotland · PremiershipSat, 17 Oct 2026

Aberdeen

10th in table · 11 pts

WLLLL

Sat, 17 Oct 202615:00

3 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.22

ST Mirren

8th in table · 14 pts

LLWDL

Pre-match win probability

50.3%Aberdeen25.8%Draw23.9%ST Mirren

Our prediction

1X · Aberdeen

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence81.97%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aberdeen 50.3%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • ST Mirren 23.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2282%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2083%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2045%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3375%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3475%Lost

Season statistics

Premiership · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AberdeenST Mirren
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.9
Wins
34
Played
1112

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aberdeen2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctRangers1 – 0AberdeenL
  • 28 OctAberdeen0 – 1FalkirkL
  • 24 OctDundee Utd3 – 2AberdeenL
  • 11 OctAberdeen0 – 1ST JohnstoneL
  • 3 OctDunfermline1 – 4AberdeenW
  • 19 SeptHibernian1 – 1AberdeenD
  • 15 SeptMotherwell0 – 4AberdeenW
  • 12 SeptKilmarnock1 – 1AberdeenD
  • 5 SeptAberdeen0 – 0KilmarnockD
ST Mirren2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctMotherwell1 – 0ST MirrenL
  • 28 OctST Mirren1 – 1HibernianD
  • 24 OctST Mirren2 – 1DundeeW
  • 10 OctHeart Of Midlothian5 – 0ST MirrenL
  • 19 SeptST Mirren0 – 3Dundee UtdL
  • 9 SeptRangers1 – 0ST MirrenL
  • 5 SeptST Mirren1 – 2CelticL
  • 2 SeptKilmarnock0 – 1ST MirrenW
  • 30 AugST Mirren3 – 3MotherwellD
H2H
Head to headAberdeen 2W · 1D · ST Mirren 6W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 12 MayAberdeen0 – 2ST Mirren
  • 4 AprST Mirren2 – 0Aberdeen
  • 3 DecAberdeen3 – 3ST Mirren
  • 18 OctST Mirren0 – 1Aberdeen
  • 3 MayST Mirren1 – 0Aberdeen
  • 25 JanAberdeen0 – 3ST Mirren
  • 23 NovST Mirren2 – 1Aberdeen
  • 11 AugAberdeen3 – 1ST Mirren
  • 2 MarST Mirren2 – 1Aberdeen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Aberdeen1.86
Draw3.62
ST Mirren3.91

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Aberdeen

Chance50.3%
Odds1.86

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.62

ST Mirren

Chance23.9%
Odds3.91

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.22

AberdeenST Mirren
Recent form53%47%
Attack59%41%
Defence65%35%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Premiership

Aberdeen scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premiership

Aberdeen conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premiership

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Premiership

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren: prediction & preview

Scotland · Premiership · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Aberdeen meet ST Mirren in the Scotland, Premiership on 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aberdeen at 1.86. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Aberdeen vs ST Mirren match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?

Aberdeen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.86. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.