Match dossier

Germany vs Greece Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 27 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany

3rd in table · 5 pts

LDDWD

Sun, 27 Sept 202619:45

0 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 3.5 · 1.83

Greece

2nd in table · 8 pts

DLWDD

Pre-match win probability

67%Germany18.8%Draw14.2%Greece

Our prediction

Over 3.5 · Germany

Germany vs Greece listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence54.64%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Germany 67%
  • Draw 18.8%
  • Greece 14.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2245%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GermanyGreece
Goals scored (avg)
2.21
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81
Wins
12
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Germany5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 4 OctGreece0 – 0GermanyD
  • 1 OctGermany2 – 0SerbiaW
  • 24 SeptNetherlands1 – 1GermanyD
  • 29 JunGermany1 – 1ParaguayD
  • 25 JunEcuador2 – 1GermanyL
  • 20 JunGermany2 – 1Ivory CoastW
  • 14 JunGermany7 – 1CuraçaoW
  • 6 JunUSA1 – 2GermanyW
  • 31 MayGermany4 – 0FinlandW
Greece2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 4 OctGreece0 – 0GermanyD
  • 1 OctGreece2 – 2NetherlandsD
  • 24 SeptSerbia1 – 2GreeceW
  • 7 JunGreece0 – 1ItalyL
  • 4 JunSweden2 – 2GreeceD
  • 31 MarHungary0 – 0GreeceD
  • 27 MarGreece0 – 1ParaguayL
  • 18 NovBelarus0 – 0GreeceD
  • 15 NovGreece3 – 2ScotlandW
H2H
Head to headGermany 2W · 1D · Greece 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 4 OctGreece0 – 0Germany
  • 7 JunGermany2 – 1Greece
  • 22 JunGermany4 – 2Greece

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Germany1.45
Draw5.16
Greece6.83

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Germany

Chance67%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance18.8%
Odds5.16

Greece

Chance14.2%
Odds6.83

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 3.5 at 1.83

GermanyGreece
Recent form62%38%
Attack69%31%
Defence52%48%
Goals model69%31%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall83%17%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Germany scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Germany conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Germany vs Greece: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Germany meet Greece in the World, UEFA Nations League on 27 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Germany at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Germany vs Greece FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Germany vs Greece match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Germany vs Greece?

Germany is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 67%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.