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Match dossier

Flamengo vs Gremio Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 23:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie AWed, 4 Nov 2026

Flamengo

1st in table · 73 pts

DWDWW

Wed, 4 Nov 202623:30

vs

Not startedTip: Flamengo · 1.17

Gremio

15th in table · 37 pts

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

79.5%Flamengo13.3%Draw7.2%Gremio

Our prediction

Flamengo

Flamengo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.17
Confidence79.5%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Flamengo 79.5%
  • Draw 13.3%
  • Gremio 7.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

No extra market tips stored for this fixture yet. Use the prediction card and odds markets below.

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FlamengoGremio
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.2
Wins
229
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Flamengo6W 4D 0L in last 10
  • 30 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 4FlamengoW
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGW
  • 23 OctFlamengo0 – 0Estudiantes L.P.D
  • 18 OctBahia0 – 3FlamengoW
  • 16 OctEstudiantes L.P.0 – 0FlamengoD
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseW
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
  • 20 SeptFlamengo2 – 1RB BragantinoW
  • 18 SeptFlamengo1 – 1Independiente del ValleD
  • 13 SeptFlamengo2 – 1CorinthiansW
Gremio3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MGW
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 26 OctCoritiba0 – 1GremioW
  • 18 OctGremio2 – 4CruzeiroL
  • 11 OctGremio1 – 1InternacionalD
  • 7 OctRemo1 – 1GremioD
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptBotafogo3 – 2GremioL
  • 12 SeptGremio1 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
  • 8 SeptVitoria1 – 0GremioL
H2H
Head to headFlamengo 6W · 2D · Gremio 2W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 10 MayGremio0 – 1Flamengo
  • 31 AugFlamengo1 – 1Gremio
  • 13 AprGremio0 – 2Flamengo
  • 22 SeptGremio3 – 2Flamengo
  • 14 JunFlamengo2 – 1Gremio
  • 26 OctGremio3 – 2Flamengo
  • 17 AugFlamengo1 – 0Gremio
  • 27 JulGremio0 – 2Flamengo
  • 11 JunFlamengo3 – 0Gremio
  • 24 NovGremio2 – 2Flamengo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.4% · 1.113.7% · 6.5
2.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.7% · 3.1
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X46.1%
1243.5%
X210.4%

Match result

Flamengo1.17
Draw7
Gremio13

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance46.1%
Odds1.04

12

Chance43.5%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance10.4%
Odds4.6

Flamengo

Chance79.5%
Odds1.17

Draw

Chance13.3%
Odds7

Gremio

Chance7.2%
Odds13

First half result

Flamengo59.5% · 1.53
Draw31.4% · 2.9
Gremio9.1% · 10

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.2

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Flamengo at 1.17

FlamengoGremio
Recent form65%35%
Attack60%40%
Defence55%45%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head70%30%
Overall92%8%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Flamengo scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Flamengo conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Flamengo vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Wed, 4 Nov 2026

Flamengo meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 4 November 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Flamengo at 1.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 79.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Flamengo are listed at 45 points per game. Gremio are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Flamengo vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Flamengo vs Gremio match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 4 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Flamengo vs Gremio?

Flamengo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 79.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.