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Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 23:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie AWed, 4 Nov 2026

Atletico Paranaense

5th in table · 54 pts

DWLDL

Wed, 4 Nov 202623:30

vs

Not startedTip: GG · 1.62

Vasco DA Gama

13th in table · 38 pts

LLWLL

Pre-match win probability

43.6%Atletico Paranaense27.8%Draw28.6%Vasco DA Gama

Our prediction

GG · Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence61.7%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Paranaense 43.6%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Vasco DA Gama 28.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6262%Pending

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico ParanaenseVasco DA Gama
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.2
Wins
1510
Played
3332

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Paranaense3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 12 OctChapecoense-sc1 – 4Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 20 SeptAtletico Paranaense2 – 1BahiaW
  • 12 SeptCoritiba3 – 3Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 6 SeptCruzeiro3 – 1Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 30 AugAtletico Paranaense3 – 3FluminenseD
  • 25 AugBotafogo2 – 3Atletico ParanaenseW
Vasco DA Gama5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovPalmeiras1 – 0Vasco DA GamaL
  • 30 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 4FlamengoL
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansW
  • 21 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 3Boca JuniorsL
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaL
  • 14 OctBoca Juniors0 – 1Vasco DA GamaW
  • 10 OctVasco DA Gama0 – 0RemoD
  • 8 OctBotafogo1 – 2Vasco DA GamaW
  • 20 SeptVasco DA Gama5 – 0CoritibaW
  • 15 SeptVasco DA Gama2 – 0Santa FeW
H2H
Head to headAtletico Paranaense 4W · 2D · Vasco DA Gama 4W · 1.9 goals a game
  • 11 MayVasco DA Gama1 – 0Atletico Paranaense
  • 12 SeptAtletico Paranaense2 – 1Vasco DA Gama
  • 30 AugVasco DA Gama2 – 1Atletico Paranaense
  • 27 AugVasco DA Gama2 – 1Atletico Paranaense
  • 5 MayAtletico Paranaense1 – 0Vasco DA Gama
  • 25 NovAtletico Paranaense0 – 0Vasco DA Gama
  • 23 JulVasco DA Gama0 – 2Atletico Paranaense
  • 27 DecAtletico Paranaense3 – 0Vasco DA Gama
  • 6 SeptVasco DA Gama1 – 0Atletico Paranaense
  • 22 SeptVasco DA Gama1 – 1Atletico Paranaense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7511.6% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X35.5%
1236.3%
X228.2%

Match result

Atletico Paranaense2.1
Draw3.3
Vasco DA Gama3.2

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance35.5%
Odds1.33

12

Chance36.3%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance28.2%
Odds1.67

Atletico Paranaense

Chance43.6%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.3

Vasco DA Gama

Chance28.6%
Odds3.2

First half result

Atletico Paranaense34.4% · 2.62
Draw39.1% · 2.3
Vasco DA Gama26.5% · 3.4

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.62

Atletico ParanaenseVasco DA Gama
Recent form45%55%
Attack56%44%
Defence36%64%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Wed, 4 Nov 2026

Atletico Paranaense meet Vasco DA Gama in the Brazil, Serie A on 4 November 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Paranaense at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Atletico Paranaense are listed at 35 points per game. Vasco DA Gama are listed at 30 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 4 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Atletico Paranaense is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.