Match dossier

FC Porto vs Napoli Predictions

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 21:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

FC Porto

34th in table · 0 pts

LLWWW

Wed, 4 Nov 202621:00

vs

Not startedTip: GG · 1.65

Napoli

22nd in table · 3 pts

LWDWL

Pre-match win probability

47.3%FC Porto25.6%Draw27.1%Napoli

Our prediction

GG · FC Porto

FC Porto vs Napoli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.65
Confidence60.6%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Porto 47.3%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Napoli 27.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeGGOdds 1.6561%Pending
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.8056%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6561%Pending
  • free 2 oddsX2Odds 1.8056%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC PortoNapoli
Goals scored (avg)
21.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.5
Wins
01
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Porto7W 0D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctFC Porto4 – 0EstorilW
  • 28 OctFC Porto1 – 0Academico ViseuW
  • 24 OctGIL Vicente0 – 1FC PortoW
  • 20 OctFC Porto0 – 1PSV EindhovenL
  • 14 OctReal Betis3 – 2FC PortoL
  • 10 OctMaritimo1 – 2FC PortoW
  • 2 OctDeportivo La Coruna1 – 3FC PortoW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaW
  • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoW
  • 8 SeptFC Porto0 – 2Manchester CityL
Napoli4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovJuventus2 – 0NapoliL
  • 28 OctMonza1 – 4NapoliW
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctNapoli4 – 3Bodo/GlimtW
  • 17 OctVenezia1 – 0NapoliL
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliL
  • 10 OctNapoli3 – 0FrosinoneW
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 13 SeptNapoli1 – 0BolognaW
  • 9 SeptNapoli0 – 1ArsenalL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.1%
No42.9%

Double chance

1X36.6%
1236.9%
X226.5%

Match result

FC Porto1.95
Draw3.6
Napoli3.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.1% · 1.65
No42.9% · 2.2

1X

Chance36.6%
Odds1.3

12

Chance36.9%
Odds1.29

X2

Chance26.5%
Odds1.8

FC Porto

Chance47.3%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.6

Napoli

Chance27.1%
Odds3.4

First half result

FC Porto37.4% · 2.4
Draw39% · 2.3
Napoli23.6% · 3.8

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.65

FC PortoNapoli
Recent form60%40%
Attack54%46%
Defence57%43%
Goals model54%46%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

FC Porto scored 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

FC Porto conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

FC Porto vs Napoli: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 4 Nov 2026

FC Porto meet Napoli in the World, UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Porto at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.65. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

FC Porto are listed at 10 points per game. Napoli are listed at 45 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

FC Porto vs Napoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FC Porto vs Napoli match?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 4 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FC Porto vs Napoli?

FC Porto is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.65. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.