Get Premium

Match dossier

AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid Predictions

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 4 Nov 2026 · 18:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 4 Nov 2026

AEK Athens FC

29th in table · 3 pts

LLWLL

Wed, 4 Nov 202618:45

vs

Not startedTip: GG · 1.65

Real Madrid

4th in table · 9 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

10.3%AEK Athens FC15.5%Draw74.2%Real Madrid

Our prediction

GG · AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.65
Confidence60.6%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AEK Athens FC 10.3%
  • Draw 15.5%
  • Real Madrid 74.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeGGOdds 1.6561%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6561%Pending
  • free 2 oddsGGOdds 1.6561%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AEK Athens FCReal Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
2.42.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.2
Wins
13
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AEK Athens FC4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovPanathinaikos2 – 0AEK Athens FCL
  • 28 OctPAOK3 – 1AEK Athens FCL
  • 24 OctAEK Athens FC5 – 0PanetolikosW
  • 20 OctManchester City5 – 1AEK Athens FCL
  • 14 OctShakhtar Donetsk3 – 1AEK Athens FCL
  • 10 OctAEK Athens FC3 – 0OFIW
  • 20 SeptVolos NFC1 – 2AEK Athens FCW
  • 17 SeptAEK Athens FC8 – 1PanserraikosW
  • 13 SeptAsteras Tripolis1 – 1AEK Athens FCD
Real Madrid9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovRacing Santander0 – 3Real MadridW
  • 25 OctBarcelona1 – 2Real MadridW
  • 21 OctReal Madrid4 – 1RB LeipzigW
  • 18 OctReal Madrid4 – 1SevillaW
  • 14 OctAS Roma3 – 4Real MadridW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridL
  • 15 SeptElche2 – 3Real MadridW
  • 12 SeptReal Madrid4 – 1Rayo VallecanoW
  • 8 SeptReal Madrid2 – 1InterW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals22.1% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals18.4% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
3.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes57.1%
No42.9%

Double chance

1X12.6%
1242.7%
X244.7%

Match result

AEK Athens FC9
Draw6
Real Madrid1.25

Both teams to score

Yes57.1% · 1.65
No42.9% · 2.2

1X

Chance12.6%
Odds3.8

12

Chance42.7%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance44.7%
Odds1.07

AEK Athens FC

Chance10.3%
Odds9

Draw

Chance15.5%
Odds6

Real Madrid

Chance74.2%
Odds1.25

First half result

AEK Athens FC12.9% · 7
Draw31.2% · 2.9
Real Madrid55.9% · 1.62

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.18

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.65

AEK Athens FCReal Madrid
Recent form33%67%
Attack46%54%
Defence40%60%
Goals model46%54%
Overall12%88%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

AEK Athens FC scored 2.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

AEK Athens FC conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 4 Nov 2026

AEK Athens FC meet Real Madrid in the World, UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.3, about 72.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.65. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 60% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 68%.

AEK Athens FC are listed at 10 points per game. Real Madrid are listed at 45 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is the AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid match?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 4 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.3 and under 2.5 is 3.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.65. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.