Match dossier

FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026 · 21:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

FC Lugano

2nd in table · 6 pts

WWWWW

Thu, 5 Nov 202621:00

vs

Not startedTip: GG · 1.75

Kauno Žalgiris

36th in table · 0 pts

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

78.1%FC Lugano14.2%Draw7.7%Kauno Žalgiris

Our prediction

GG · FC Lugano

FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence57.1%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Lugano 78.1%
  • Draw 14.2%
  • Kauno Žalgiris 7.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7557%Pending
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • accaOver 2.5Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • free 2 oddsGGOdds 1.7557%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC LuganoKauno Žalgiris
Goals scored (avg)
3.21.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.3
Wins
20
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Lugano8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovFC Lugano2 – 1FC Basel 1893W
  • 25 OctFC Thun2 – 3FC LuganoW
  • 22 OctGetafe2 – 5FC LuganoW
  • 18 OctPully Football0 – 4FC LuganoW
  • 15 OctFC Lugano3 – 2FK Crvena ZvezdaW
  • 10 OctFC Lugano4 – 0FC LuzernW
  • 2 OctFC Lugano1 – 3Hellas VeronaL
  • 20 SeptLausanne0 – 4FC LuganoW
  • 16 SeptFC Lugano4 – 1FC ST. GallenW
  • 12 SeptFC Lugano2 – 2BSC Young BoysD
Kauno Žalgiris6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctHegelmann Litauen1 – 4Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 26 OctKauno Žalgiris0 – 0FK Zalgiris VilniusD
  • 22 OctKauno Žalgiris1 – 4BrannL
  • 19 OctSuduva Marijampole0 – 1Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 15 OctBrighton4 – 0Kauno ŽalgirisL
  • 11 OctMinija0 – 3Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 20 SeptŠiauliai0 – 2Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 16 SeptFK Zalgiris Vilnius3 – 2Kauno ŽalgirisL
  • 13 SeptPanevėžys0 – 1Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 9 SeptKauno Žalgiris5 – 1Suduva MarijampoleW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X45.9%
1243.4%
X210.6%

Match result

FC Lugano1.18
Draw6.5
Kauno Žalgiris12

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance45.9%
Odds1.04

12

Chance43.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance10.6%
Odds4.5

FC Lugano

Chance78.1%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance14.2%
Odds6.5

Kauno Žalgiris

Chance7.7%
Odds12

First half result

FC Lugano57.5% · 1.57
Draw31.2% · 2.9
Kauno Žalgiris11.3% · 8

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.18

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.75

FC LuganoKauno Žalgiris
Recent form57%43%
Attack63%37%
Defence50%50%
Goals model63%37%
Overall91%9%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Lugano scored 3.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Lugano conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Over 2.5 goals in 10 of those 10.

FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026

FC Lugano meet Kauno Žalgiris in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Lugano at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 78.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 60% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 68%.

FC Lugano are listed at 45 points per game. Kauno Žalgiris are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris match?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 5 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?

FC Lugano is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 78.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.