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FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Predictions

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026 · 18:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu, 5 Nov 2026

FC Midtjylland

25th in table · 1 pts

WLWWW

Thu, 5 Nov 202618:45

vs

Not startedTip: X2 · 1.40

Ajax

13th in table · 3 pts

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

33.7%FC Midtjylland26.8%Draw39.6%Ajax

Our prediction

X2 · FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds1.40
Confidence71.4%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Midtjylland 33.7%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • Ajax 39.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4071%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4469%Pending
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.4868%Pending
  • Win Either HalfAWEHOdds 1.6262%Pending
  • accaX2Odds 1.4071%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC MidtjyllandAjax
Goals scored (avg)
2.52.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.3
Wins
01
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Midtjylland7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovFC Nordsjaelland2 – 3FC MidtjyllandW
  • 29 OctFC Midtjylland2 – 1OdenseW
  • 25 OctFC Midtjylland3 – 2LyngbyW
  • 22 OctFC Midtjylland0 – 1St. TruidenL
  • 19 OctViborg1 – 2FC MidtjyllandW
  • 15 OctEgnatia Rrogozhinë1 – 1FC MidtjyllandD
  • 11 OctFC Midtjylland2 – 1FC CopenhagenW
  • 19 SeptOdense1 – 1FC MidtjyllandD
  • 14 SeptFC Midtjylland4 – 1BrondbyW
  • 10 SeptSundby0 – 7FC MidtjyllandW
Ajax6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenL
H2H
Head to headFC Midtjylland 0W · 0D · Ajax 2W · 3.5 goals a game
  • 25 NovAjax3 – 1FC Midtjylland
  • 3 NovFC Midtjylland1 – 2Ajax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X30%
1236.5%
X233.6%

Match result

FC Midtjylland2.7
Draw3.4
Ajax2.3

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance30%
Odds1.57

12

Chance36.5%
Odds1.29

X2

Chance33.6%
Odds1.4

FC Midtjylland

Chance33.7%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.4

Ajax

Chance39.6%
Odds2.3

First half result

FC Midtjylland28.9% · 3.1
Draw36.6% · 2.45
Ajax34.5% · 2.6

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.22

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.40

FC MidtjyllandAjax
Recent form53%47%
Attack50%50%
Defence53%47%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall46%54%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Midtjylland scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Midtjylland conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026

FC Midtjylland meet Ajax in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 60% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 68%.

FC Midtjylland are listed at 10 points per game. Ajax are listed at 45 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FC Midtjylland vs Ajax match?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 5 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Ajax is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.