Match dossier

Estrela vs Casa Pia Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · 15:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Estrela

12th in table · 10 pts

DLLWL

Sat, 24 Oct 202615:30

0 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.22

Casa Pia

17th in table · 7 pts

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

53.5%Estrela25.8%Draw20.7%Casa Pia

Our prediction

1X · Estrela

Estrela vs Casa Pia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence81.97%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estrela 53.5%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Casa Pia 20.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2282%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4469%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.5539%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EstrelaCasa Pia
Goals scored (avg)
1.70.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.82
Wins
22
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estrela3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctMoreirense2 – 1EstrelaL
  • 17 OctFazendense1 – 2EstrelaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaL
  • 20 SeptEstrela0 – 2Academico ViseuL
  • 14 SeptRio Ave3 – 3EstrelaD
  • 10 SeptEstrela2 – 1SC BragaW
  • 5 SeptEstrela2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 30 AugNacional2 – 3EstrelaW
  • 15 AugAlverca2 – 2EstrelaD
Casa Pia2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 30 OctCasa Pia0 – 2Sporting CPL
  • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
  • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
  • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoL
  • 6 SeptVitória SC0 – 0Casa PiaD
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 24 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Casa PiaL
  • 17 AugCasa Pia0 – 7BenficaL
H2H
Head to headEstrela 4W · 1D · Casa Pia 4W · 3 goals a game
  • 18 JulEstrela1 – 2Casa Pia
  • 20 MarEstrela4 – 0Casa Pia
  • 1 NovCasa Pia3 – 5Estrela
  • 9 FebCasa Pia1 – 0Estrela
  • 31 AugEstrela0 – 1Casa Pia
  • 8 MarEstrela3 – 1Casa Pia
  • 8 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Estrela
  • 15 JulEstrela1 – 1Casa Pia
  • 23 AprCasa Pia3 – 0Estrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Estrela1.81
Draw3.75
Casa Pia4.69

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Estrela

Chance53.5%
Odds1.81

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.75

Casa Pia

Chance20.7%
Odds4.69

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.22

EstrelaCasa Pia
Recent form63%37%
Attack81%19%
Defence55%45%
Goals model81%19%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estrela scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estrela conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Estrela vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Estrela meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estrela at 1.81. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estrela vs Casa Pia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Estrela vs Casa Pia match?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Estrela vs Casa Pia?

Estrela is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.81. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.