Match dossier

Alverca vs Arouca Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Alverca

10th in table · 11 pts

WWWLL

Sat, 24 Oct 202618:00

0 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.34

Arouca

5th in table · 20 pts

LDWWW

Pre-match win probability

43.9%Alverca29%Draw27.1%Arouca

Our prediction

1X · Alverca

Alverca vs Arouca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.34
Confidence74.63%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alverca 43.9%
  • Draw 29%
  • Arouca 27.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3475%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.6262%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.9034%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlvercaArouca
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.1
Wins
36
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alverca3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 2 NovBenfica1 – 0AlvercaL
  • 18 OctTondela2 – 0AlvercaL
  • 12 OctFamalicao1 – 4AlvercaW
  • 19 SeptAlverca1 – 0Rio AveW
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaW
  • 5 SeptAlverca1 – 2SC BragaL
  • 29 AugAlverca1 – 1Santa ClaraD
  • 22 AugSporting CP3 – 1AlvercaL
  • 15 AugAlverca2 – 2EstrelaD
Arouca5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalW
  • 18 OctCF Os Belenenses3 – 4AroucaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaW
  • 19 SeptSporting CP2 – 2AroucaD
  • 13 SeptArouca1 – 2Santa ClaraL
  • 7 SeptEstoril0 – 0AroucaD
  • 29 AugArouca2 – 1MaritimoW
  • 23 AugFC Porto2 – 0AroucaL
  • 16 AugArouca4 – 0MoreirenseW
H2H
Head to headAlverca 1W · 0D · Arouca 1W · 2 goals a game
  • 24 AprAlverca2 – 1Arouca
  • 14 DecArouca1 – 0Alverca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Alverca2.21
Draw3.34
Arouca3.58

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Alverca

Chance43.9%
Odds2.21

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.34

Arouca

Chance27.1%
Odds3.58

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.34

AlvercaArouca
Recent form39%61%
Attack45%55%
Defence46%54%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Alverca scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Alverca conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Alverca vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Alverca meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alverca at 2.21. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alverca vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Alverca vs Arouca match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Alverca vs Arouca?

Alverca is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.21. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.