Match dossier

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 12 Sept 2026

Casa Pia

17th in table · 7 pts

WLWWL

Sat, 12 Sept 202618:00

1 : 4

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.19

FC Porto

1st in table · 30 pts

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

7%Casa Pia15.6%Draw77.4%FC Porto

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs FC Porto listed tip from the board.

Odds1.19
Confidence84.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 7%
  • Draw 15.6%
  • FC Porto 77.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3176%Won
  • corners ouOver 7Odds 1.3276%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaFC Porto
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61
Wins
210
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Casa Pia3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 30 OctCasa Pia0 – 2Sporting CPL
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
  • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
  • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 6 SeptVitória SC0 – 0Casa PiaD
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 24 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Casa PiaL
  • 17 AugCasa Pia0 – 7BenficaL
FC Porto6W 0D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctFC Porto4 – 0EstorilW
  • 28 OctFC Porto1 – 0Academico ViseuW
  • 24 OctGIL Vicente0 – 1FC PortoW
  • 20 OctFC Porto0 – 1PSV EindhovenL
  • 14 OctReal Betis3 – 2FC PortoL
  • 10 OctMaritimo1 – 2FC PortoW
  • 2 OctDeportivo La Coruna1 – 3FC PortoW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaW
  • 8 SeptFC Porto0 – 2Manchester CityL
H2H
Head to headCasa Pia 1W · 1D · FC Porto 7W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 2 FebCasa Pia2 – 1FC Porto
  • 24 AugFC Porto4 – 0Casa Pia
  • 12 AprCasa Pia0 – 1FC Porto
  • 2 DecFC Porto2 – 0Casa Pia
  • 21 AprCasa Pia1 – 2FC Porto
  • 9 DecFC Porto3 – 1Casa Pia
  • 14 MayFC Porto2 – 1Casa Pia
  • 7 JanCasa Pia0 – 0FC Porto
  • 5 DecCasa Pia0 – 3FC Porto

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Casa Pia13.8
Draw6.21
FC Porto1.25

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Casa Pia

Chance7%
Odds13.8

Draw

Chance15.6%
Odds6.21

FC Porto

Chance77.4%
Odds1.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.19

Casa PiaFC Porto
Recent form36%64%
Attack25%75%
Defence41%59%
Goals model25%75%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall8%92%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia scored 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 6 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Casa Pia vs FC Porto: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Casa Pia meet FC Porto in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Porto at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Casa Pia vs FC Porto FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Casa Pia vs FC Porto match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Casa Pia vs FC Porto?

FC Porto is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.