Match dossier

Bury vs Curzon Ashton Predictions

England · Non League Premier - Northern · Tue, 11 Aug 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Bury

10th in table · 23 pts

LWWLD

Tue, 11 Aug 202619:45

3 : 2

Full timeTip: Under 3.5 · 1.35

Curzon Ashton

4th in table · 31 pts

LDWWW

Pre-match win probability

44.7%Bury26.1%Draw29.2%Curzon Ashton

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Bury

Bury vs Curzon Ashton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.35
Confidence74.07%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bury 44.7%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Curzon Ashton 29.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3574%Lost

Season statistics

Non League Premier - Northern · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BuryCurzon Ashton
Goals scored (avg)
2.11.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.1
Wins
710
Played
1416

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bury4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 3 NovBury2 – 2AvroD
  • 31 OctBury1 – 2WorkingtonL
  • 27 OctBury5 – 3Leek TownW
  • 24 OctBury3 – 0Prescot CablesW
  • 20 OctHarrogate Town3 – 1BuryL
  • 17 OctBury1 – 1Harrogate TownD
  • 10 OctAlfreton Town2 – 3BuryW
  • 6 OctStockton Town1 – 0BuryL
  • 3 OctBury2 – 1Bromsgrove SportingW
  • 26 SeptBury3 – 3Gainsborough TrinityD
Curzon Ashton7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 3 NovCurzon Ashton1 – 0United of ManchesterW
  • 31 OctCurzon Ashton2 – 1Leek TownW
  • 27 OctGainsborough Trinity0 – 3Curzon AshtonW
  • 24 OctBridlington Town2 – 2Curzon AshtonD
  • 17 OctWhitby Town1 – 0Curzon AshtonL
  • 13 OctRylands5 – 1Curzon AshtonL
  • 10 OctCurzon Ashton2 – 0Hyde UnitedW
  • 6 OctCurzon Ashton3 – 1Redcar AthleticW
  • 26 SeptCurzon Ashton3 – 1Stalybridge CelticW
  • 12 SeptLancaster City0 – 2Curzon AshtonW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Bury2.03
Draw3.48
Curzon Ashton3.11

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Bury

Chance44.7%
Odds2.03

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.48

Curzon Ashton

Chance29.2%
Odds3.11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.35

BuryCurzon Ashton
Recent form41%59%
Attack53%47%
Defence39%61%
Goals model53%47%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Non League Premier - Northern

Bury scored 2.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Non League Premier - Northern

Bury conceded 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Non League Premier - Northern

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Non League Premier - Northern

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Bury vs Curzon Ashton: prediction & preview

England · Non League Premier - Northern · Tue, 11 Aug 2026

Bury meet Curzon Ashton in the England, Non League Premier - Northern on 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bury at 2.03. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bury vs Curzon Ashton FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Bury vs Curzon Ashton match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 11 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Bury vs Curzon Ashton?

Bury is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.03. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.